Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 33

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Location: Al Taawon Arena (Buraidah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah
World	Onefootball


	Al-Taawoun		Al-Riyadh

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.1	4.5
	1.58	4.25	4.75
	1.63	4.26	5.05
	1.63	4.04	4.95	Watch
	1.57	3.8	4.6
	1.59	4.31	4.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.91)	4.13 ↑ (3.46)	4.78 ↑ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Taawoun
58.2%

Draw
22.4%

Al-Riyadh
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

27%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

26.9%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Taawoun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Taawoun's performance.

Al-Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Taawoun than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Taawoun that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Al Taawoun - Al Riyadh Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Al-Taawoun will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Al-Riyadh will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mailson (G) 5. Mahzari M. 3. Andrei Girotto 87. Lajami Q. 32. Al Mufarrij M. 8. Flavio 18. El Mahdioui A. (C) 11. Fulgini A. 7. Al Kuwaykibi M. 10. Martinez Tobinson R. B. 88. Petkov M.	82. Borjan M. (C) 87. Tambakti M. H. 35. Al Siyahi A. 5. Barbet Y. 12. Hazazi S. 4. Gonzalez S. 10. Okou T. 27. Lekhal V. 20. Toze 77. Antunes L. 9. Sylla M.
Substitutes
2. Al Alaeli M. 55. Al Dossari M. 66. Al Hurayji B. 15. Al Qahtani M. 13. Atiah A. (G) 29. Bahusayn A. 20. Biel 77. Hawsawi A. 74. Rajab S.	7. Al Boardi O. 33. Al Harfi A. 80. Al Khaibari A. I. 23. Al Khaibari M. 22. Al Shammari A. (G) 88. Al Shehri Y. 94. Al Sobhi F. 45. Bahri E. H. A. 99. Haroun S.
Coaches
Chamusca P.	Dulac M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Martinez Tobinson R. B. 🟨,
61', 0 - 1, Antunes L. ⚽, Okou T. (A),
67', 1 - 1, Martinez Tobinson R. B. (Penalty Awarded),
69', Al Mufarrij M. ↓, Biel ↑,
82', Antunes L. 🟨,
86', Antunes L. ↓, Al Harfi A. ↑,
87', Flavio ↓, Al Qahtani M. ↑,
89', Sylla M. ↓, Haroun S. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Al-Taawoun is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Taawoun won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Taawoun won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Al Riyadh	7	2	2	3	8:16	-8	8
16	Al Taawon	7	0	3	4	3:12	-9	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Taawoun FC
Saudi Professional League
11.05.26	Al-Taawoun - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Taawoun	1:5 ✺
29.04.26	Al-Taawoun - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Al-Najma - Al-Taawoun	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Al-Taawoun - Al-Kholood	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLWL
- Al-Riyadh SC
Saudi Professional League
10.05.26	Al-Riyadh - Al Fateh	1:0 ✺
04.05.26	Al-Feiha - Al-Riyadh	4:2 ✺
29.04.26	Al-Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya	0:4 ✺
24.04.26	Al Hazem - Al-Riyadh	2:1 ✺
09.04.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Riyadh	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
18.01.26	Al-Riyadh - Al-Taawoun	1:3
20.05.25	Al-Taawoun - Al-Riyadh	3:2
21.01.25	Al-Riyadh - Al-Taawoun	1:0
09.05.24	Al-Riyadh - Al-Taawoun	0:0
24.11.23	Al-Taawoun - Al-Riyadh	1:2

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