Match Info

MEXICO: Liga Premier Serie A - Apertura - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 11 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Francisco Zarco (Durango)


	Alacranes de Durango		Aguacateros de Peribán

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	2.85
	2.12	3.05	3.39
	2.07	3.18	3.43	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.1
	2.1	3.05	3.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.03)	3.12 ↓ (3.15)	3.23 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alacranes de Durango
42.7%

Draw
29.2%

Aguacateros de Peribán
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

28.5%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

29.7%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alacranes de Durango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Aguacateros de Peribán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aguacateros de Peribán than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Alacranes de Durango - Aguacateros de Peribán Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Alacranes de Durango will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Aguacateros will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alacranes de Durango: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, Reyes Olguin J. I. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 and 1).

Alacranes de Durango is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aguacateros is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Aguacateros could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Alacranes de Durango have a series of home games.

Recently Aguacateros have a series of guest games.

Alacranes de Durango will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alacranes de Durango
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
07.12.24	Tuzos UAZ - Alacranes de Durango	1:3 ✺
04.12.24	Alacranes de Durango - Tuzos UAZ	1:1 ✺
29.11.24	Alacranes de Durango - Real Apodaca	1:1 ✺
18.11.24	Alacranes de Durango - Correcaminos UAT 2	2:1 ✺
08.11.24	Alacranes de Durango - Tigres de Álica	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 83.3 WTTWT
- Aguacateros de Peribán FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
30.11.24	Aguacateros CDU Uruapan - Aguacateros de Peribán	0:2 ✺
25.11.24	Cimarrones de Sonora - Aguacateros de Peribán	0:1 ✺
08.11.24	Halcones - Aguacateros de Peribán	0:3 ✺
02.11.24	Aguacateros de Peribán - Zacatepec Siglo	2:0 ✺
26.10.24	Canamy - Aguacateros de Peribán	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWWW

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