Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: CONCACAF Central American Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto (Alajuela)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX Sports 3
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 5 Norte
World	Disney+


	Alajuelense		Comunicaciones

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	4.1	4.8
				Watch
	1.48	4.2	4.9
	1.49	4.32	5.35	Watch
	1.45	4.25	5.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.51)	4.22 ↑ (4)	5.2 (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alajuelense
61.2%

Draw
21.4%

Comunicaciones
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

22.6%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

21.4%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alajuelense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

The chances for Comunicaciones have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comunicaciones than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Alajuelense - Comunicaciones Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Moreira L. (G) 2. Martinez C. 3. James M. 13. Gamboa A. 27. Lawrence I. 11. Campos D. 8. Angulo L. 5. Borges C. (C) 34. Perez C. 97. Anderson Canhoto 19. Toril A.	1. Perez F. (G) 4. Espino K. 13. Robles S. 24. Gordillo G. 20. Lopez A. 22. Pineda W. 6. Pinto J. 10. Contreras J. (C) 12. Gonzalez E. 7. Casas D. 9. Londono A.
Substitutes
1. Mora B. (G) 9. Moya J. 28. Navarro J. 16. Oviedo B. 35. Parkins R. 26. Pinar F. 39. Salazar E. 25. van der Putten S. 40. Velasquez D. 4. Villalobos Alfaro G.	23. Barrios A. (G) 21. Calderon J. (G) 19. Cruz A. d. l. 8. Grajeda J. 25. Lemus E. 26. L. Garcia 3. Martin E. 15. Mejia C. 14. Morales R. 5. Prieto A. 30. Raymundo E. 31. Saraiva M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
37', 1 - 0, Anderson Canhoto ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Casas D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Gamboa A. 🟨,
54', Casas D. 🟨,
60', Pineda W. ↓, Mejia C. ↑,
66', Perez C. ↓, Oviedo B. ↑,
66', Toril A. ↓, Moya J. ↑,
70', Lopez A. ↓, L. Garcia ↑,
70', Londono A. ↓, Lemus E. ↑,
80', Campos D. ↓, Navarro J. ↑,
85', Anderson Canhoto ↓, Parkins R. ↑,
85', Espino K. ↓, Saraiva M. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

Alajuelense is Qualified for CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Comunicaciones is Qualified for CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Alajuelense is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Comunicaciones is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Comunicaciones could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Alajuelense have a series of guest games.

In this match Alajuelense is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Alajuelense to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alajuelense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Alajuelense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LD Alajuelense
Costa Rican Primera Division
29.09.24	Pérez Zeledón - Alajuelense	2:2 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
26.09.24	Comunicaciones - Alajuelense	1:2 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
22.09.24	Alajuelense - Cartagines	2:1 ✺
19.09.24	Sporting San José - Alajuelense	0:1 ✺
12.09.24	Puntarenas FC - Alajuelense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWWWT
- CSD Comunicaciones
Guatemala Liga Nacional
29.09.24	Comunicaciones - Municipal	1:2 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
26.09.24	Comunicaciones - Alajuelense	1:2 ✺
Guatemala Liga Nacional
21.09.24	Marquense - Comunicaciones	2:1 ✺
18.09.24	Deportivo Mixco - Comunicaciones	2:1 ✺
11.09.24	Comunicaciones - Deportivo Achuapa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Central American Cup
26.09.24	Comunicaciones - Alajuelense	1:2
27.08.24	Alajuelense - Comunicaciones	2:1

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