Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: CONCACAF Central American Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 September 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Doroteo Guamuch Flores (Guatemala City)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, FOX Sports 3, FOX Sports Premium
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPNPlay Caribbean
World	Disney+


	Comunicaciones		Alajuelense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.87	3.3	2.1
				Watch
	3.22	3.32	2.06
	3.23	3.38	2.07	Watch
	3.16	3.32	2.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.35)	3.33 ↓ (3.49)	2.08 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comunicaciones
29.1%

Draw
27.2%

Alajuelense
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

26.4%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

27.5%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comunicaciones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Comunicaciones's form might have worsened.

Alajuelense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alajuelense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comunicaciones than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Comunicaciones, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alajuelense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Comunicaciones - Alajuelense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perez F. (G) 4. Espino K. 6. Pinto J. 13. Robles S. 20. Lopez A. 24. Gordillo G. 10. Contreras J. 12. Gonzalez E. 15. Mejia C. 7. Casas D. 9. Londono A.	23. Moreira L. (G) 2. Martinez C. 13. Gamboa A. 3. James M. 27. Lawrence I. 8. Angulo L. 5. Borges C. (C) 11. Campos D. 97. Anderson Canhoto 9. Moya J. 34. Perez C.
Substitutes
23. Barrios A. (G) 21. Calderon J. (G) 33. Contreras A. 8. Grajeda J. 25. Lemus E. 26. L. Garcia 3. Martin E. 14. Morales R. 5. Prieto A. 30. Raymundo E.	1. Mora B. (G) 28. Navarro J. 35. Parkins R. 19. Toril A. 25. van der Putten S. 4. Villalobos Alfaro G.
Coaches
Coito W.	Guimaraes A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Mejia C. ⚽,
30', Espino K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Moya J. ↓, Toril A. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Campos D. ⚽,
53', Campos D. 🟨,
55', 1 - 2, Toril A. ⚽,
63', Perez C. ↓, Oviedo B. ↑,
65', Gonzalez E. 🟨,
68', Contreras J. 🟨,
70', Lopez A. ↓, Lemus E. ↑,
70', Mejia C. ↓, L. Garcia ↑,
75', Campos D. ↓, Parkins R. ↑,
90+4', Gordillo G. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Comunicaciones is Qualified for CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Alajuelense is Qualified for CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Comunicaciones is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alajuelense in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Alajuelense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Comunicaciones won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSD Comunicaciones
Guatemala Liga Nacional
21.09.24	Marquense - Comunicaciones	2:1 ✺
18.09.24	Deportivo Mixco - Comunicaciones	2:1 ✺
11.09.24	Comunicaciones - Deportivo Achuapa	1:0 ✺
01.09.24	Comunicaciones - Deportivo Xinabajul	1:2 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
27.08.24	Alajuelense - Comunicaciones	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLL
- LD Alajuelense
Costa Rican Primera Division
22.09.24	Alajuelense - Cartagines	2:1 ✺
19.09.24	Sporting San José - Alajuelense	0:1 ✺
12.09.24	Puntarenas FC - Alajuelense	1:1 ✺
07.09.24	Alajuelense - Guanacasteca	4:0 ✺
Costa Rican Copa
04.09.24	Alajuelense - Escorpiones de Belén	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Central American Cup
27.08.24	Alajuelense - Comunicaciones	2:1

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