Match Info

Date: 11 October 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto (Alajuela) 🌤️ ...


	Alajuelense		Real España

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3	3
	2.19	3.1	3.05
	2.21	2.92	3.53
				Watch
	2.11	3.13	3.28	Watch
	2.22	3.1	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.44)	3.05 ↓ (4)	3.22 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alajuelense
41.9%

Draw
29.9%

Real España
28.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.5%

22.5%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

21.4%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alajuelense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alajuelense's form might have worsened.

Real España has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real España's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (+23.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alajuelense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real España than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real España, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Alajuelense - Real España Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Alajuelense will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Real España will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 3-0.

Alajuelense is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Real España is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alajuelense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Alajuelense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alajuelense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LD Alajuelense
Costa Rican Primera Division
08.10.22	Alajuelense - Deportivo Saprissa	0:0 ✺
CONCACAF League
04.10.22	Real España - Alajuelense	0:3 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
01.10.22	Alajuelense - Municipal Grecia	4:3 ✺
28.09.22	Cartagines - Alajuelense	1:2 ✺
24.09.22	San Carlos - Alajuelense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWWWT
- Real España
Honduras Liga Nacional
07.10.22	Real España - Real Sociedad Tocoa	1:3 ✺
CONCACAF League
04.10.22	Real España - Alajuelense	0:3 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
01.10.22	Motagua - Real España	1:2 ✺
18.09.22	Lobos UPNFM - Real España	2:2 ✺
CONCACAF League
15.09.22	Herediano - Real España	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF League
04.10.22	Real España - Alajuelense	0:3
Club Friendly
10.07.19	Real España - Alajuelense	1:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LD Alajuelense
Costa Rican Primera Division
01.11.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Alajuelense	✺
- Real España
Honduras Liga Nacional
31.10.26	Real España - Juticalpa	✺

Alajuelense - Real España