Match Info

Date: 4 October 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Francisco Morazán (San Pedro Sula) 🌤️ ...


	Real España		Alajuelense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	2.87	3.2
	2.24	2.9	3.15
	2.32	2.85	3.46
				Watch
	2.23	2.95	3.2	Watch
	2.3	3.05	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.62)	2.92 ↓ (3.2)	3.26 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Network on TV: TUDN

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Current Win Probability

Real España
40.7%

Draw
31.3%

Alajuelense
28%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.4%

28.1%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

30.3%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real España has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real España's performance.

Alajuelense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alajuelense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real España than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real España that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alajuelense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Real España - Alajuelense Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Real España will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Alajuelense will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Real España could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Real España will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Real España won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Real España won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real España
Honduras Liga Nacional
01.10.22	Motagua - Real España	1:2 ✺
18.09.22	Lobos UPNFM - Real España	2:2 ✺
CONCACAF League
15.09.22	Herediano - Real España	1:1 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
11.09.22	Real España - Honduras Progreso	2:0 ✺
CONCACAF League
08.09.22	Real España - Herediano	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WTTWW
- LD Alajuelense
Costa Rican Primera Division
01.10.22	Alajuelense - Municipal Grecia	4:3 ✺
28.09.22	Cartagines - Alajuelense	1:2 ✺
24.09.22	San Carlos - Alajuelense	0:0 ✺
21.09.22	Alajuelense - Pérez Zeledón	1:0 ✺
17.09.22	Puntarenas FC - Alajuelense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.07.19	Real España - Alajuelense	1:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real España
Honduras Liga Nacional
31.10.26	Real España - Juticalpa	✺
- LD Alajuelense
Costa Rican Primera Division
01.11.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Alajuelense	✺

Real España - Alajuelense