Match Info

TURKEY: SUPER LIG - ROUND 16

Date: 9 January 2024, Tuesday

Location: Kırbıyık Holding Stadyumu (Alanya)

Referee: Tonuslouglu D. (Tur)


	Alanyaspor		Ankaragücü

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.4
	2.12	3.35	3.45	Watch
	2.21	3.41	3.58
	2.19	3.41	3.58
	2.1	3.4	3.1
	2.22	3.5	3.46	Watch
	2.17	3.3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.75)	3.37 ↑ (3.35)	3.39 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alanyaspor
44%

Draw
28.1%

Ankaragücü
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

28.1%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

28.3%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alanyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alanyaspor's performance.

Ankaragücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ankaragücü might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alanyaspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ankaragücü could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	20.6%	20.6%

Alanyaspor - Ankaragücü Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Alanyaspor will win (votes: 20 - 58.8%). Ankaragücü will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 20.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alanyaspor: 42.3% – 75.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Taskiran E. (G) 94. Hadergjonaj F. 2. Lima N. 5. Aliti F. 29. Balkovec J. 25. Richard 8. Fer L. 11. Aydin O. 17. Janvier N. 88. Ozdemir Y. 7. Karaca E.	99. Gungordu B. (G) 70. Kitsiou S. 26. Radakovic U. 18. Mujakic N. 5. Hanousek M. 23. Guneren A. K. 8. Pedrinho 80. Morutan O. 10. Bekiroglu E. 7. Chatzigiovanis A. 32. Macheda F.
Substitutes
20. Aksoy F. 26. Altintas E. 35. Aygun Y. (G) 42. Bahadir Y. 4. Bayir F. 28. Carlos Eduardo 21. Cavus E. 9. Cordova S. 10. Novais J. 18. Sisto P.	21. Astanakulov S. 9. Bajic R. 77. Bilazer H. 4. Cankaya A. R. 45. Cetin M. 16. Dokanovic A. 1. Gikiewicz R. (G) 41. Kaya D. (G) 2. Kuyubasi A. 6. Turkmen C.
Coaches
Tekke F.	Belozoglu E.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alanyaspor won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ankaragücü could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ankaragücü have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Alanyaspor won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Alanyaspor won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alanyaspor
Turkish Super League
05.01.24	Antalyaspor - Alanyaspor	0:0 ✺
25.12.23	Alanyaspor - Samsunspor	3:1 ✺
21.12.23	Beşiktaş - Alanyaspor	1:3 ✺
10.12.23	İstanbulspor - Alanyaspor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
05.12.23	Alanyaspor - Kocaelispor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 TWWWW
- MKE Ankaragücü
Turkish Super League
06.01.24	Ankaragücü - Trabzonspor	0:1 ✺
25.12.23	Pendikspor - Ankaragücü	1:1 ✺
21.12.23	Ankaragücü - Hatayspor	0:0 ✺
11.12.23	Ankaragücü - Çaykur Rizespor	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
07.12.23	Ankaragücü - Iskenderunspor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
12.03.23	Ankaragücü - Alanyaspor	2:0
09.09.22	Alanyaspor - Ankaragücü	2:1
15.05.21	Ankaragücü - Alanyaspor	0:1
25.01.21	Alanyaspor - Ankaragücü	4:3
04.07.20	Ankaragücü - Alanyaspor	1:4
30.11.19	Alanyaspor - Ankaragücü	5:0
28.01.19	Ankaragücü - Alanyaspor	0:2

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