The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Albacete Balompié 57.9%
Draw 26.8%
Lugo 15.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.3%
26.9%
22.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.9%
26.6%
22.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albacete Balompié has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Albacete Balompié's performance.
Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lugo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Albacete Balompié that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.4%
9.3%
2.3%
Albacete Balompié - Lugo Predictions
Users Predictions:
Albacete Balompié will win
(38 of 43 users predict this - 88.37%). Confidence interval (95%): 78.79% – 97.95%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 and 21 in the zone Relegation).
Albacete has the most likely position - 6 (10.42%), has project points - 63, has currently - 39, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (37%), has a chance of promoted (16%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
Lugo has the most likely position - 22 (28.19%), has project points - 39, has currently - 21, has a good chance of relegated (82%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality27, importance32, small match rating30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Albacete won 1.
Albacete is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Lugo is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Albacete is a favorite.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Albacete won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Albacete won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-6.
Watch
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