Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 20

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Carlos Belmonte (Albacete)

Referee: Lax S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 4
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Albacete Balompié		Leganés

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	3.05	Watch
	2.35	3	2.9
	2.35	3.1	3	Watch
	2.53	3.18	2.92	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.9
	2.46	3.15	3.15	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.34)	3.12 ↓ (3.18)	3.02 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albacete Balompié
39.4%

Draw
29.8%

Leganés
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

29.7%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

29.5%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albacete Balompié has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Leganés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.1%	33.3%	28.6%

Albacete Balompié - Leganés Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Albacete will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Leganés will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Albacete: 17.3% – 58.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Leganés (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marino D. (G) 2. Lorenzo 5. Moreno J. 24. Vallejo J. 3. Jogo 4. Agus Medina 6. Pacheco A. 8. Rodriguez R. (C) 11. Valverde V. 7. Puertas A. 19. Escriche D.	1. Soriano J. (G) 7. Pena R. (C) 5. Miquel I. 2. Marvel 15. Franquesa E. 8. Cisse S. 20. Plano O. 24. Diawara A. 10. Cruz J. 23. Millan A. 11. Duk
Substitutes
27. Bernabeu D. 10. Betancor J. 26. Capi 15. Gamez F. 14. Garcia H. J. 16. Lazo J. 13. Lizoain R. (G) 17. Melendez A. 22. Morcillo J. 18. Villar J.	21. Campos A. 19. Garcia D. 17. Garcia N. 31. Garrido J. (G) 26. Guirao C. 36. Leiva M. 14. Lopez R. 16. Melero G. 18. Pauwels B. 3. Saenz J. 13. San Roman M. (G)
Coaches
Gonzalez A.	Oca I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Puertas A. ⚽, Escriche D. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Millan A. ⚽, Franquesa E. (A),
42', Diawara A. 🟨,
45', Marvel 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', Vallejo J. ↓, Garcia H. J. ↑,
62', Valverde V. 🟨,
64', Duk ↓, Garcia N. ↑,
67', Cisse S. 🟨,
67', Pacheco A. ↓, Villar J. ↑,
68', Valverde V. ↓, Betancor J. ↑,
68', Escriche D. ↓, Morcillo J. ↑,
74', Millan A. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
74', Plano O. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Lopez R. ⚽, Pena R. (A),
77', Rodriguez R. ↓, Melendez A. ↑,
83', Cruz J. ↓, Leiva M. ↑,
83', Cisse S. ↓, Melero G. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 3, Melero G. ⚽, Lopez R. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Albacete won 4.

Albacete is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Leganés has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Leganés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Albacete: Marin H. (Ankle Injury) Pepe (Hip Injury)

There will not play in Leganés: Aguilar Lopez G. (Yellow Cards) Figueredo S. (Injury) Pena R. (Injury) Pulido R. (Knee Injury) de la Fuente M. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Albacete won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Albacete won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.5:0.5).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Leganes: 2.35% Albacete: 0.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Leganes	8	3	2	3	6:11	-5	11
22	Albacete	8	0	1	7	5:15	-10	1

Last Results with these Odds

Albacete Balompié - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 40.42%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albacete Balompié
Spanish LaLiga2
21.12.25	Granada - Albacete Balompié	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Albacete Balompié - Celta de Vigo	3:2 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
14.12.25	Albacete Balompié - Málaga	1:3 ✺
08.12.25	Burgos - Albacete Balompié	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Leganés - Albacete Balompié	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 TWLWW
- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
20.12.25	Leganés - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Racing Santander - Leganés	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Leganés - Córdoba	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Leganés - Albacete Balompié	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.25	Zaragoza - Leganés	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Leganés - Albacete Balompié	1:2
Spanish LaLiga2
12.05.24	Albacete Balompié - Leganés	1:0
27.08.23	Leganés - Albacete Balompié	2:0
16.01.23	Albacete Balompié - Leganés	1:0
02.10.22	Leganés - Albacete Balompié	1:2
Club Friendly
30.07.22	Leganés - Albacete Balompié	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
14.02.21	Leganés - Albacete Balompié	3:1

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