Match Info

Date: 25 October 2020, Sunday


	Albacete Balompié		Rayo Vallecano

	1	X	2
	4.75	3	1.9	Watch
	4.5	3.1	1.9
	4.5	3.05	1.95	Watch
	4.5	3	1.9
	4.87	3.16	1.97
				Watch
	4.5	3.13	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.6 ↑ (3.12)	3.07 ↑ (2.89)	1.93 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albacete Balompié
20.5%

Draw
30.7%

Rayo Vallecano
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

32.5%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

23.7%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albacete Balompié has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Albacete Balompié's form might have worsened.

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rayo Vallecano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.2%	13.5%	70.3%

Albacete Balompié - Rayo Vallecano Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Albacete will win (votes: 6 - 16.2%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 26 - 70.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 55.6% – 85%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion to LaLiga).

Albacete has a chance of relegated (36%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Rayo Vallecano has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (37%), has a chance of promoted (32%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Albacete could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rayo Vallecano is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Albacete won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Albacete won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albacete Balompié
Spanish LaLiga2
22.10.20	Mallorca - Albacete Balompié	0:0 ✺
17.10.20	Albacete Balompié - Sabadell	3:0 ✺
11.10.20	Zaragoza - Albacete Balompié	1:0 ✺
03.10.20	Albacete Balompié - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
26.09.20	Fuenlabrada - Albacete Balompié	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWLTL
- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga2
22.10.20	Real Oviedo - Rayo Vallecano	0:0 ✺
18.10.20	Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol	1:0 ✺
10.10.20	Tenerife - Rayo Vallecano	1:0 ✺
03.10.20	Rayo Vallecano - Málaga	4:0 ✺
27.09.20	Ponferradina - Rayo Vallecano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
10.06.20	Rayo Vallecano - Albacete Balompié	1:0
29.02.20	Albacete Balompié - Rayo Vallecano	1:1
07.04.18	Albacete Balompié - Rayo Vallecano	0:1
04.11.17	Rayo Vallecano - Albacete Balompié	1:1
Club Friendly
25.07.15	Albacete Balompié - Rayo Vallecano	5:0

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