The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Albacete Balompié 42.5%
Draw 29.6%
Sporting de Gijón 27.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.8%
28.7%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.2%
27.7%
30.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albacete Balompié has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Sporting de Gijón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
54.5%
27.3%
18.2%
Albacete Balompié - Sporting de Gijón Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Albacete will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Albacete: 25.1% – 83.9%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Albacete (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sporting de Gijón (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Marino D. (G) 2. Lorenzo 5. Moreno J. 18. Villar J. 24. Vallejo J. 3. Jogo 4. Agus Medina 17. Melendez A. 6. Pacheco A. 10. Betancor J. 7. Puertas A.
1. Yanez R. (G) 2. Rosas G. 15. Vazquez P. 5. Sanchez D. 12. Olivan B. 36. Rodriguez M. 6. Nacho Martin 17. Dubasin J. 14. Corredera A. 10. Gelabert Pina C. 9. Ferrari A.
Substitutes
27. Bernabeu D. 26. Capi 8. Fernandez M. 15. Gamez F. 16. Lazo J. 13. Lizoain R. (G) 22. Lopez L. 20. Obeng S. 19. Rubio A. 14. San Bartolome V. 11. Valverde V.
8. Bernal J. 7. Campos G. 18. Coundoul A. 3. Garcia P. 13. Joel C. (G) 4. Perrin L. 11. Queipo D. 24. Smith J. 20. Vazquez K.
Coaches
Gonzalez A.
Jimenez B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
45+4', 1 - 0, Betancor J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Ferrari A. ↓, Campos G. ↑,
65', Villar J. ↓, Lopez L. ↑,
65', Betancor J. ↓, Obeng S. ↑,
65', Puertas A. ↓, Rubio A. ↑,
72', Olivan B. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
72', Nacho Martin ↓, Queipo D. ↑,
75', Lorenzo ↓, Gamez F. ↑,
76', Moreno J. 🟨,
78', 1 - 1, Dubasin J. (Penalty Awarded),
84', Moreno J. ↓, Valverde V. ↑,
88', Gelabert Pina C. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Albacete won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Albacete won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.4:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Albacete won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.4:1.6).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Gijon
8
4
1
3
8:8
0
13
22
Albacete
8
0
1
7
5:15
-10
1
Last Results with these Odds
Albacete Balompié - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.81%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.