Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Carlos Belmonte (Albacete)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	DAZN France
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	U-NEXT
Portugal	Sport TV6
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Spain	M+ LaLiga 4, M+ LaLiga
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Albacete Balompié		Celta de Vigo

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.5	1.91	Watch
	3.7	3.55	1.88
	4	3.66	1.98
	4.47	3.78	1.77	Watch
	3.7	3.4	1.91
	4.03	3.53	1.92	Watch
	3.8	3.6	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↑ (3.17)	3.57 ↑ (3.5)	1.89 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Albacete Balompié
24%

Draw
26.3%

Celta de Vigo
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

26.5%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

26%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albacete Balompié has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Albacete Balompié's form might have worsened.

Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Celta de Vigo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.6%	5.3%	92.1%

Albacete Balompié - Celta de Vigo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Albacete (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Albacete (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

1X2, 1st Half - Albacete (4.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Celta de Vigo will win (35 of 38 users predict this - 92.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.54% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Celta de Vigo will win (19 of 19 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Albacete (votes: 3 - 13.6%). Celta (votes: 19 - 86.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lizoain R. (G) 2. Lorenzo 5. Moreno J. 21. Neva C. 3. Jogo 26. Capi 17. Melendez A. 18. Villar J. 11. Valverde V. 10. Betancor J. 19. Escriche D.	1. Villar I. (G) 32. Rodriguez J. 29. Lago Y. 21. Ristic M. 3. Mingueza O. 10. Aspas I. 22. Sotelo H. 6. Moriba I. 17. Rueda J. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 23. Alvarez H.
Substitutes
4. Agus Medina 27. Bernabeu D. 15. Gamez F. 14. Garcia H. J. 16. Lazo J. 1. Marino D. (G) 22. Morcillo J. 6. Pacheco A. 7. Puertas A. 8. Rodriguez R. 24. Vallejo J.	11. Cervi F. 12. Fernandez M. 30. Gonzalez H. 7. Iglesias B. 9. Jutgla F. 33. Marcos O. 14. Rodriguez D. 16. Roman M. 2. Starfelt C. 19. Swedberg W. 25. Vidal Girona M. V. (G)
Coaches
Gonzalez A.	Giraldez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Betancor J. ⚽, Lorenzo (A),
45+2', Rueda J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Ristic M. ↓, Iglesias B. ↑,
46', Sotelo H. ↓, Roman M. ↑,
46', Rueda J. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
58', Betancor J. ↓, Vallejo J. ↑,
58', Capi ↓, Puertas A. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Lago Y. ⚽, Roman M. (A),
70', Lago Y. 🟨,
70', Puertas A. 🟨,
72', Valverde V. ↓, Morcillo J. ↑,
72', Villar J. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
72', El Abdellaoui J. ↓, Swedberg W. ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Iglesias B. ⚽, Mingueza O. (A),
81', Neva C. ↓, Agus Medina ↑,
81', Lago Y. ↓, Starfelt C. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 2, Vallejo J. ⚽, Agus Medina (A),
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Iglesias B. ↓, Jutgla F. ↑,
95', Lorenzo ↓, Gamez F. ↑,
108', Escriche D. 🟨,
Penalties (1 - 0)
1, Puertas A. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Mingueza O. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Rodriguez R. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Alvarez H. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Vallejo J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Aspas I. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Celta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Celta will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albacete Balompié
Spanish LaLiga2
14.12.25	Albacete Balompié - Málaga	1:3 ✺
08.12.25	Burgos - Albacete Balompié	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Leganés - Albacete Balompié	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
29.11.25	Albacete Balompié - Deportivo A Coruña	0:2 ✺
21.11.25	Las Palmas - Albacete Balompié	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWWLL
- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
14.12.25	Celta de Vigo - Athletic Bilbao	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Celta de Vigo - Bologna	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
07.12.25	Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Sant Andreu - Celta de Vigo	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.11.25	Celta de Vigo - Espanyol	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WLWWL

Upcoming Matches