Match Info

LaLiga - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Balaídos (Vigo)

Referee: Diaz I. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Celta de Vigo		Espanyol

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.6	Watch
	1.92	3.45	4.15	Watch
	1.97	3.53	4.35
	2.01	3.34	3.93	Watch
	2.01	3.53	4.26	Watch
	1.93	3.4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.04)	3.44 ↑ (3.38)	4.08 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo
48.5%

Draw
27.9%

Espanyol
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

28.2%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

27.6%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Celta de Vigo - Espanyol Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Celta will win (votes: 21 - 60%). Espanyol will win (votes: 7 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celta: 43.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Espanyol (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -0.25 - Celta (1.76) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +1 - Espanyol (1.49) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (4.29) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta (votes: 8 - 50%). Espanyol (votes: 4 - 25%). Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Radu I. (G) 32. Rodriguez J. 2. Starfelt C. 20. Alonso M. 17. Rueda J. 8. Beltran F. 16. Roman M. 5. Carreira S. 10. Aspas I. (C) 7. Iglesias B. 15. Zaragoza B.	13. Dmitrovic M. (G) 23. El Hilali O. 5. Calero F. 6. Cabrera L. (C) 22. Romero C. 24. Dolan T. 10. Lozano P. 4. Gonzalez U. 14. Terrats R. 11. Milla P. 9. Fernandez Jaen R.
Substitutes
4. Aidoo J. 23. Alvarez H. 24. Dominguez C. 18. Duran P. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 9. Jutgla F. 3. Mingueza O. 6. Moriba I. 21. Ristic M. 22. Sotelo H. 19. Swedberg W. 1. Villar I. (G)	8. Exposito 1. Fortuno A. (G) 19. Garcia K. 27. Hernandez J. 17. Jofre 16. Koleosho L. 18. Pickel C. 38. Riedel C. 20. Roca A. 15. Rubio M. 12. Salinas J. 2. Sanchez R.
Coaches
Giraldez C.	Gonzalez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Terrats R. ↓, Garcia K. ↑,
70', Rueda J. ↓, Moriba I. ↑,
70', Aspas I. ↓, El Abdellaoui J. ↑,
72', Gonzalez U. 🟨,
76', Calero F. ↓, Riedel C. ↑,
76', Fernandez Jaen R. ↓, Exposito ↑,
76', Milla P. ↓, Jofre ↑,
79', Beltran F. ↓, Duran P. ↑,
79', Iglesias B. ↓, Swedberg W. ↑,
86', 0 - 1, Garcia K. ⚽, Exposito (A),
87', Roman M. ↓, Jutgla F. ↑,
90', Dolan T. ↓, Salinas J. ↑,
90+5', Romero C. 🟨,
90+5', Jutgla F. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celta won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Celta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Celta has had a series of away games.

Celta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Celta: Beltran F. (Illness) Dominguez C. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Espanyol: Puado J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Celta: Rueda J. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Celta won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Celta won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:13. (average 1.7:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Celta de Vigo	3:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
22.11.25	Deportivo Alavés - Celta de Vigo	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Celta de Vigo - Barcelona	2:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Celta de Vigo	0:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
02.11.25	Levante - Celta de Vigo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWLWW
- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga
24.11.25	Espanyol - Sevilla	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Espanyol - Villarreal	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Deportivo Alavés - Espanyol	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Atlètic Lleida - Espanyol	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
25.10.25	Espanyol - Elche	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
12.04.25	Celta de Vigo - Espanyol	0:2
30.11.24	Espanyol - Celta de Vigo	3:1
18.03.23	Espanyol - Celta de Vigo	1:3
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.01.23	Espanyol - Celta de Vigo	3:1 ET
Spanish LaLiga
13.08.22	Celta de Vigo - Espanyol	2:2
10.04.22	Espanyol - Celta de Vigo	1:0
17.12.21	Celta de Vigo - Espanyol	3:1

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