Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio de Balaídos (Vigo)

Referee: Petrescu R. M. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Celta de Vigo		Bologna

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	3.1
	2.32	3.55	3.1
	2.31	3.5	3.21
	2.27	3.54	3.08	Watch
	2.25	3.3	3
	2.3	3.57	3.17
	2.22	3.4	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.29)	3.48 ↑ (3.28)	3.11 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo
41.9%

Draw
27.4%

Bologna
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

28.8%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

30.2%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	39.4%	27.3%

Celta de Vigo - Bologna Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Celta will win (votes: 11 - 33.3%). Bologna will win (votes: 9 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 39.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 22.7% – 56.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Bologna (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Celta (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Bologna (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Radu I. (G) 32. Rodriguez J. 2. Starfelt C. 21. Ristic M. 5. Carreira S. 8. Beltran F. (C) 6. Moriba I. 3. Mingueza O. 15. Zaragoza B. 7. Iglesias B. 19. Swedberg W.	13. Ravaglia F. (G) 2. Holm E. 14. Heggem T. 22. Lykogiannis C. 33. Miranda J. 6. Moro N. (C) 4. Pobega T. 10. Bernardeschi F. 80. Fabbian G. 11. Rowe J. 9. Castro S.
Substitutes
20. Alonso M. 23. Alvarez H. 10. Aspas I. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 12. Fernandez M. 9. Jutgla F. 29. Lago Y. 14. Rodriguez D. 16. Roman M. 17. Rueda J. 22. Sotelo H. 1. Villar I. (G)	28. Cambiaghi N. 24. Dallinga T. 30. Dominguez B. 19. Ferguson L. 82. Franceschelli M. (G) 26. Lucumi J. 21. Odgaard J. 7. Orsolini R. 25. Pessina M. (G) 20. Zortea N.
Coaches
Giraldez C.	Italiano V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Zaragoza B. ⚽, Swedberg W. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Zaragoza B. ↓, Alvarez H. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Bernardeschi F. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Mingueza O. ↓, Rueda J. ↑,
67', Swedberg W. ↓, Aspas I. ↑,
67', Iglesias B. ↓, Jutgla F. ↑,
67', Rowe J. ↓, Cambiaghi N. ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Bernardeschi F. ⚽, Cambiaghi N. (A),
79', Beltran F. ↓, Roman M. ↑,
80', Castro S. ↓, Dallinga T. ↑,
80', Bernardeschi F. ↓, Orsolini R. ↑,
84', Holm E. 🟨,
87', Radu I. 🟨,
88', Moro N. ↓, Odgaard J. ↑,
88', Pobega T. ↓, Ferguson L. ↑,
90+2', Rueda J. 🟨,
90+6', Moriba I. 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, Celta has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bologna is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Celta has had a series of away games.

Celta will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Celta: Aidoo J. (Inactive) Cervi F. (Coach's decision) Duran P. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Casale N. (Muscle Injury) De Silvestri L. (Inactive) Freuler R. (Shoulder Injury) Skorupski L. (Thigh Injury) Sulemana I. (Inactive) Vitik M. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
07.12.25	Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Sant Andreu - Celta de Vigo	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.11.25	Celta de Vigo - Espanyol	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Celta de Vigo	3:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
22.11.25	Deportivo Alavés - Celta de Vigo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WWLLW
- Bologna FC
Italian Serie A
07.12.25	Lazio - Bologna	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
04.12.25	Bologna - Parma	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
01.12.25	Bologna - Cremonese	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Bologna - Red Bull Salzburg	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
22.11.25	Udinese - Bologna	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWLWW

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