Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio de Balaídos (Vigo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Petrescu R. M. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 6, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 4
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, Q Arena Asia, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 4
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
China	04:00	ZhiBo8
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	21:00	Sport 3
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 6
Georgia	00:00	Silk Sport 3
Germany	21:00	RTL+
Greece	22:00	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 4
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Mongolia	04:00	Premier Sports 3
Nigeria	21:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	Flow Sports 2 Caribbean
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	20:00	DAZN / App
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	04:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	23:00	Tabii Spor 3, Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab


	Celta de Vigo		Bologna

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	3.1
	2.32	3.55	3.1
	2.31	3.5	3.21
	2.27	3.54	3.08	Watch
	2.25	3.3	3
	2.3	3.57	3.17
	2.22	3.4	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.29)	3.48 ↑ (3.28)	3.11 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo
41.9%

Draw
27.4%

Bologna
30.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.3%

28.8%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

29.4%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	39.4%	27.3%

Celta de Vigo - Bologna Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Celta will win (votes: 11 - 33.3%). Bologna will win (votes: 9 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 39.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 22.7% – 56.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Bologna (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Celta (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Bologna (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Radu I. (G) 32. Rodriguez J. 2. Starfelt C. 21. Ristic M. 5. Carreira S. 8. Beltran F. (C) 6. Moriba I. 3. Mingueza O. 15. Zaragoza B. 7. Iglesias B. 19. Swedberg W.	13. Ravaglia F. (G) 2. Holm E. 14. Heggem T. 22. Lykogiannis C. 33. Miranda J. 6. Moro N. (C) 4. Pobega T. 10. Bernardeschi F. 80. Fabbian G. 11. Rowe J. 9. Castro S.
Substitutes
20. Alonso M. 23. Alvarez H. 10. Aspas I. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 12. Fernandez M. 9. Jutgla F. 29. Lago Y. 14. Rodriguez D. 16. Roman M. 17. Rueda J. 22. Sotelo H. 1. Villar I. (G)	28. Cambiaghi N. 24. Dallinga T. 30. Dominguez B. 19. Ferguson L. 82. Franceschelli M. (G) 26. Lucumi J. 21. Odgaard J. 7. Orsolini R. 25. Pessina M. (G) 20. Zortea N.
Coaches
Giraldez C.	Italiano V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Zaragoza B. ⚽, Swedberg W. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Zaragoza B. ↓, Alvarez H. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Bernardeschi F. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Mingueza O. ↓, Rueda J. ↑,
67', Swedberg W. ↓, Aspas I. ↑,
67', Iglesias B. ↓, Jutgla F. ↑,
67', Rowe J. ↓, Cambiaghi N. ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Bernardeschi F. ⚽, Cambiaghi N. (A),
79', Beltran F. ↓, Roman M. ↑,
80', Castro S. ↓, Dallinga T. ↑,
80', Bernardeschi F. ↓, Orsolini R. ↑,
84', Holm E. 🟨,
87', Radu I. 🟨,
88', Moro N. ↓, Odgaard J. ↑,
88', Pobega T. ↓, Ferguson L. ↑,
90+2', Rueda J. 🟨,
90+6', Moriba I. 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, Celta has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bologna is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Celta has had a series of away games.

Celta will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Celta: Aidoo J. (Inactive) Cervi F. (Coach's decision) Duran P. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Casale N. (Muscle Injury) De Silvestri L. (Inactive) Freuler R. (Shoulder Injury) Skorupski L. (Thigh Injury) Sulemana I. (Inactive) Vitik M. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
07.12.25	Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Sant Andreu - Celta de Vigo	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.11.25	Celta de Vigo - Espanyol	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Celta de Vigo	3:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
22.11.25	Deportivo Alavés - Celta de Vigo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WWLLW
- Bologna FC
Italian Serie A
07.12.25	Lazio - Bologna	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
04.12.25	Bologna - Parma	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
01.12.25	Bologna - Cremonese	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Bologna - Red Bull Salzburg	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
22.11.25	Udinese - Bologna	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWLWW

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