Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 18

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Sardinero (Santander)

Referee: Gonzalez Esteban J. A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Racing Santander		Leganés

	1	X	2
	1.56	4.2	4.75	Watch
	1.6	4.05	4.85	Watch
	1.63	4.35	5.09
	1.65	4.24	4.78	Watch
	1.62	3.9	4.6
	1.66	4.28	4.61	Watch
	1.62	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.78)	4.15 ↑ (3.8)	4.81 ↑ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Santander
57.9%

Draw
22.6%

Leganés
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

24.8%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

24.2%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81%	4.8%	14.3%

Racing Santander - Leganés Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.75 - Racing (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Racing Santander will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Racing Santander will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Andreev P. (G) 2. Mantilla A. (C) 5. Castro J. 21. Ramon P. 32. Salinas J. 14. Gueye M. 19. Puerta G. 11. Martin A. 18. Canales P. 10. Vicente I. 12. Villalibre A.	1. Soriano J. (G) 36. Leiva M. 6. Aguilar Lopez G. 5. Miquel I. 15. Franquesa E. 8. Cisse S. 10. Cruz J. 24. Diawara A. 11. Duk 19. Garcia D. (C) 17. Garcia N.
Substitutes
8. Aldasoro A. 9. Arana J. 7. Cabanzon Y. 20. Camara S. 3. Garcia M. 35. Gomez Rodriguez L. (G) 16. Gonzalez F. 29. Jeremy Arevalo 4. Manu 6. Sainz-Maza I. 15. Sangalli M. 36. Sergio M.	21. Campos A. 9. de la Fuente M. 31. Garrido J. (G) 38. Gueye D. 26. Guirao C. 27. Imigene S. 14. Lopez R. 16. Melero G. 23. Millan A. 40. Osei D. 20. Plano O. 13. San Roman M. (G)
Coaches
Lopez J.	Oca I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Garcia N. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Villalibre A. ↓, Jeremy Arevalo ↑,
59', Mantilla A. 🟨,
63', 1 - 0, Martin A. ⚽, Vicente I. (A),
70', Leiva M. 🟨,
70', Leiva M. ↓, Melero G. ↑,
71', Garcia D. ↓, Millan A. ↑,
72', Martin A. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
72', Vicente I. ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
75', Franquesa E. 🟨,
83', 1 - 1, Cisse S. ⚽,
85', Franquesa E. ↓, Plano O. ↑,
85', Cruz J. ↓, de la Fuente M. ↑,
90+1', Puerta G. 🟨,
90+1', de la Fuente M. 🟨,
90+1', Ramon P. 🟨,
90+7', Jeremy Arevalo 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2.

Racing is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Leganés is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Racing is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Racing: Michelin C. (Injury)

There will not play in Leganés: Aguilar Lopez G. (Overload) Pena R. (Injury) Pulido R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Leganés: Figueredo S. (Injury)

We predict that Racing will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Racing won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
07.12.25	Cádiz - Racing Santander	2:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Ponferradina - Racing Santander	1:2 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.25	Racing Santander - Eibar	4:0 ✺
23.11.25	Burgos - Racing Santander	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Racing Santander - Granada	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWT
- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
07.12.25	Leganés - Córdoba	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Leganés - Albacete Balompié	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.25	Zaragoza - Leganés	3:2 ✺
22.11.25	Leganés - Almería	0:3 ✺
16.11.25	Ceuta - Leganés	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
24.02.24	Racing Santander - Leganés	2:1
29.09.23	Leganés - Racing Santander	2:1
13.02.23	Racing Santander - Leganés	2:1
29.10.22	Leganés - Racing Santander	0:0
21.02.15	Racing Santander - Leganés	1:2
21.09.14	Leganés - Racing Santander	2:2
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.10.13	Leganés - Racing Santander	1:2 penalties

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