Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 33

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini (Verona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Virtus Verona		AlbinoLeffe

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.05
	3.35	3.15	2.08	Watch
	3.5	3.1	2.15
	3.38	3.19	2.09	Watch
	3.3	2.88	2.1
	3.38	3.1	2.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.57)	3.09 ↓ (3.49)	2.09 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Verona
27.1%

Draw
29.5%

AlbinoLeffe
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

26.4%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

26%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Virtus Verona's form might have worsened.

AlbinoLeffe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AlbinoLeffe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Verona than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Virtus Verona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AlbinoLeffe than the current prediction. (-5%)

Virtus Verona - AlbinoLeffe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Sibi S. (G) 6. Daffara M. 23. Toffanin F. 95. Munaretti L. 29. Saiani F. 5. Fanini F. 20. Fiorin G. 75. Bassi M. 8. Caia F. 7. Amadio M. 99. Fabbro M.	12. Baldi G. (G) 2. Barba B. 4. Potop S. 30. Baroni R. 33. Sciacca G. 6. Astrologo A. 5. Mandelli A. 18. Parlati S. 3. Giannini E. 9. Sorrentino L. 11. Sali G.
Substitutes
2. Alfonso E. (G) 18. Cernigoi I. 3. Cielo T. 47. Cuel E. 70. Devoti A. 14. Di Virgilio M. 30. Gatti C. 38. Ingrosso G. 74. Lerco S. 39. Mancini T. 11. Mastour H. 1. Peroni R. (G) 12. Scardigno N. (G) 17. Yao E. 10. Zarpellon L.	19. Agostinelli M. 21. Angeloni M. 10. De Paoli A. 1. Di Chiara S. (G) 22. Facchetti L. (G) 16. Franchini F. 7. Garattoni A. 8. Lombardi A. 60. Simonelli T. 23. Sottini E. 51. Trapletti M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Sciacca G. ⚽,
10', 0 - 2, Sali G. ⚽,
26', Sali G. 🟨,
34', 1 - 2, Fanini F. ⚽,
36', Parlati S. ↓, Agostinelli M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Baroni R. ↓, Sottini E. ↑,
50', Fabbro M. 🟨,
57', Saiani F. ↓, Lerco S. ↑,
57', Caia F. ↓, Zarpellon L. ↑,
59', Sciacca G. 🟨,
68', 1 - 3, Giannini E. ⚽,
72', Fiorin G. ↓, Gatti C. ↑,
72', Amadio M. ↓, Mancini T. ↑,
79', Sorrentino L. ↓, Angeloni M. ↑,
79', Sali G. ↓, De Paoli A. ↑,
87', Fanini F. ↓, Cuel E. ↑,
90', Astrologo A. ↓, Franchini F. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus Verona won 0.

Recent form of Virtus Verona has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, AlbinoLeffe has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Virtus Verona won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Virtus Verona won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Virtus Verona - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 35.79%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Verona
Italian Serie C Group A
15.03.26	Virtus Verona - Renate	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Trento - Virtus Verona	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Virtus Verona - Novara	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Pro Patria - Virtus Verona	2:2 ✺
23.02.26	Virtus Verona - Vicenza Virtus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLTL
- UC AlbinoLeffe
Italian Serie C Group A
14.03.26	AlbinoLeffe - Giana Erminio	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Inter U23 - AlbinoLeffe	0:1 ✺
03.03.26	AlbinoLeffe - Brescia	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	AlbinoLeffe - Vicenza Virtus	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Lecco - AlbinoLeffe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
16.11.25	AlbinoLeffe - Virtus Verona	3:1
25.04.25	Virtus Verona - AlbinoLeffe	1:1
16.12.24	AlbinoLeffe - Virtus Verona	3:1
17.02.24	Virtus Verona - AlbinoLeffe	1:1
13.10.23	AlbinoLeffe - Virtus Verona	1:0
08.04.23	Virtus Verona - AlbinoLeffe	2:1
04.12.22	AlbinoLeffe - Virtus Verona	0:1

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