Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 28

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday


	Alessandria		AlbinoLeffe

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.95	2.85	2.3
	3.2	2.95	2.35	Watch
	3.05	2.9	2.31
	3.36	2.93	2.39
	3.1	2.88	2.3
	3.17	2.8	2.36
	3.1	2.9	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↓ (3.27)	2.89 ↓ (2.92)	2.33 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandria
29.2%

Draw
31.6%

AlbinoLeffe
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

31.3%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

30.5%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

AlbinoLeffe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AlbinoLeffe than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Alessandria - AlbinoLeffe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Spurio A. (G) 23. Ciancio S. (C) 8. Rota A. 17. Gega E. 3. Rossi E. 66. Sepe A. 6. Soler I. 24. Mastalli A. 18. Pellegrini L. 99. Samele L. 9. Siafa O.	22. Marietta C. (G) 13. Milesi L. 33. Borghini D. 30. Baroni R. 27. Munari D. 8. Brentan M. 10. Piccoli M. 3. Zanini M. 16. Gusu M. 91. Longo S. 11. Zoma M. A.
Substitutes
22. Barmaz Y. (G) 31. Busatto T. 5. Cusumano F. 1. Farroni A. (G) 20. Femia N. 32. Fiumano F. 7. Gazoul M. 29. Laukzemis K. 26. Mame Ass N. 79. Mangni D. 4. Nichetti M. 21. Nunzella L. 16. Parrinello T.	95. Agostinelli M. 42. Allieri A. 19. Angeloni M. 60. Arrighini A. 6. Doumbia I. 67. Ercolani F. 47. Malanchini F. 20. Muzio C. 1. Pratelli L. (G) 23. Saltarelli M. 17. Toccafondi D.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 2.

Alessandria is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches AlbinoLeffe is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alessandria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Alessandria won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
21.02.24	Pro Sesto - Alessandria	1:2 ✺
18.02.24	Atalanta U23 - Alessandria	2:0 ✺
13.02.24	Alessandria - Mantova	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Lumezzane - Alessandria	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Alessandria - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLLT
- UC AlbinoLeffe
Italian Serie C Group A
17.02.24	Virtus Verona - AlbinoLeffe	1:1 ✺
13.02.24	AlbinoLeffe - Atalanta U23	0:1 ✺
10.02.24	Legnago Salus - AlbinoLeffe	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	AlbinoLeffe - Mantova	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Pro Patria - AlbinoLeffe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
21.10.23	AlbinoLeffe - Alessandria	0:0
09.06.21	Alessandria - AlbinoLeffe	2:2 ET
06.06.21	AlbinoLeffe - Alessandria	1:2
07.03.21	Alessandria - AlbinoLeffe	2:1
11.11.20	AlbinoLeffe - Alessandria	2:0
Club Friendly
12.09.20	Alessandria - AlbinoLeffe	0:0
Italian Serie C Group A
27.10.19	AlbinoLeffe - Alessandria	4:1

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