Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 6

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Albion Montevideo		Oriental de La Paz

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.2
	2.24	3.13	3.3
				Watch
	2.15	3	3.25
	2.22	2.99	3.19
	2	3.1	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.3)	3.06 ↓ (3.13)	3.29 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albion Montevideo
42.7%

Draw
29.7%

Oriental de La Paz
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

29.1%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

27.3%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albion Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Oriental de La Paz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Albion Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
75', Gonzalez A. 🟥,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Albion won 2.

Albion is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Oriental is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Oriental may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Albion is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Albion won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.5:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Albion won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albion Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
08.06.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	0:3 ✺
04.06.25	Artigas - Albion Montevideo	0:1 ✺
31.05.25	Albion Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:0 ✺
25.05.25	Rampla Juniors - Albion Montevideo	0:1 ✺
17.05.25	Albion Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWWWW
- Oriental de La Paz
Uruguayan Segunda Division
07.06.25	Oriental de La Paz - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Rampla Juniors - Oriental de La Paz	1:2 ✺
30.05.25	Oriental de La Paz - Atenas de San Carlos	1:1 ✺
23.05.25	Central Español - Oriental de La Paz	2:1 ✺
18.05.25	Oriental de La Paz - Tacuarembó	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
05.10.24	Oriental de La Paz - Albion Montevideo	1:1
24.06.24	Albion Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	1:1
17.04.24	Oriental de La Paz - Albion Montevideo	2:0
21.10.23	Oriental de La Paz - Albion Montevideo	1:4
03.06.23	Albion Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	2:0
19.03.23	Albion Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	1:5

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