The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oriental de La Paz 37.1%
Draw 28.1%
Atenas de San Carlos 34.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.5%
28.5%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
29.5%
29%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oriental de La Paz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Atenas de San Carlos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oriental de La Paz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atenas de San Carlos than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atenas de San Carlos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
25%
75%
Oriental de La Paz - Atenas de San Carlos Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Atenas will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Apertura: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oriental won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Atenas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Oriental won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 2:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Oriental won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).
Standings
Main
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Atenas
21
12
4
5
30:18
12
40
3
Oriental
21
8
8
5
29:22
7
32
Last Results with these Odds
Oriental de La Paz - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 41.49%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
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