Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 1

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday


	Albion Montevideo		Atenas de San Carlos

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.85	2.87
	2.4	2.8	3.05
	2.4	2.86	3.29
	2.53	2.85	3.13	Watch
	2.34	3.06	3.16
	2.4	2.8	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.07)	2.87 ↓ (3.25)	3.09 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albion Montevideo
38.2%

Draw
32%

Atenas de San Carlos
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

28.4%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

28.3%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albion Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Albion Montevideo's form might have worsened.

Atenas de San Carlos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Albion Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atenas de San Carlos than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Albion Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Albion (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Quintana R. ⚽,
72', 1 - 1, Puente F. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 1, Burdin E. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Albion won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Atenas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Albion won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Albion won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albion Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.04.25	Artigas - Albion Montevideo	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Rentistas - Albion Montevideo	0:0 ✺
04.04.25	Albion Montevideo - Central Español	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Albion Montevideo	0:0 ✺
23.03.25	Albion Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTLTW
- Atenas de San Carlos
Uruguayan Segunda Division
04.05.25	Tacuarembó - Atenas de San Carlos	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Artigas - Atenas de San Carlos	0:3 ✺
12.04.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Cerrito	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Rentistas - Atenas de San Carlos	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Albion Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
29.03.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Albion Montevideo	0:0
13.09.24	Albion Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	1:0
31.05.24	Atenas de San Carlos - Albion Montevideo	2:1
04.11.23	Atenas de San Carlos - Albion Montevideo	0:0
17.06.23	Albion Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	0:1
07.04.23	Albion Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	1:1
27.10.21	Atenas de San Carlos - Albion Montevideo	1:2

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