Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 4

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Oriental de La Paz		Tacuarembó

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.88	2.92
	2.49	2.93	2.96
	2.5	2.91	3	Watch
	2.45	2.7	3
	2.43	2.81	2.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.09)	2.85 ↓ (3.02)	2.97 ↓ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriental de La Paz
37.2%

Draw
32.1%

Tacuarembó
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

29.9%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

30.4%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriental de La Paz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oriental de La Paz's form might have worsened.

Tacuarembó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oriental de La Paz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacuarembó than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Oriental de La Paz - Tacuarembó Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tacuarembó will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oriental won 2.

Recent form of Oriental has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Tacuarembó has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Oriental won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Oriental won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Oriental	21	8	8	5	29:22	7	32
13	Tacuarembo	21	6	6	9	16:23	-7	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oriental de La Paz
Uruguayan Segunda Division
22.05.26	Plaza Colonia - Oriental de La Paz	3:1 ✺
17.05.26	Oriental de La Paz - La Luz	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Oriental de La Paz - Cerrito	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	1:0 ✺
24.04.26	Plaza Colonia - Oriental de La Paz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTTLL
- Tacuarembó FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
23.05.26	Tacuarembó - Colón Montevideo	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Tacuarembó	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Tacuarembó - Rentistas	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Tacuarembó	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Tacuarembó	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
10.08.25	Tacuarembó - Oriental de La Paz	1:1
18.05.25	Oriental de La Paz - Tacuarembó	1:0
08.03.25	Oriental de La Paz - Tacuarembó	2:2
11.08.24	Tacuarembó - Oriental de La Paz	1:0
12.05.24	Oriental de La Paz - Tacuarembó	2:1
03.12.23	Oriental de La Paz - Tacuarembó	1:1
30.07.23	Tacuarembó - Oriental de La Paz	5:2

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