Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 4

Date: 3 June 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Rampla Juniors		Oriental de La Paz

	1	X	2
	3	2.95	2.33
	3.1	3.02	2.38
	3.15	3.01	2.41	Watch
	2.62	3	2.5
	3.13	2.89	2.31
	3	2.95	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.15)	2.97 ↓ (3.3)	2.38 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rampla Juniors
30.6%

Draw
30.9%

Oriental de La Paz
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

27.4%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

27.1%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rampla Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rampla Juniors's form might have worsened.

Oriental de La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oriental de La Paz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rampla Juniors than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rampla Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oriental de La Paz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Rampla Juniors - Oriental de La Paz Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Rampla Juniors will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Oriental will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Rampla Juniors (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Rampla Juniors (2.39) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Rampla Juniors (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
76', 0 - 1, Monzeglio M. ⚽,
82', 1 - 1, Batista L. ⚽,
87', 1 - 2, Colman G. ⚽,

Preview

Recent form of Rampla Juniors has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Oriental's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rampla Juniors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rampla Juniors won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rampla Juniors won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rampla Juniors
Uruguayan Segunda Division
31.05.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	2:1 ✺
25.05.25	Rampla Juniors - Albion Montevideo	0:1 ✺
17.05.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Rampla Juniors - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Rampla Juniors - Oriental de La Paz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTLT
- Oriental de La Paz
Uruguayan Segunda Division
30.05.25	Oriental de La Paz - Atenas de San Carlos	1:1 ✺
23.05.25	Central Español - Oriental de La Paz	2:1 ✺
18.05.25	Oriental de La Paz - Tacuarembó	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Rampla Juniors - Oriental de La Paz	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Oriental de La Paz - Deportivo Maldonado	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
19.04.25	Rampla Juniors - Oriental de La Paz	0:0
28.08.23	Oriental de La Paz - Rampla Juniors	1:1
07.05.23	Rampla Juniors - Oriental de La Paz	1:3
22.04.23	Rampla Juniors - Oriental de La Paz	1:0

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