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Current Win Probability
Albirex Niigata 52.3%
Draw 26.9%
Kamatamare Sanuki 20.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.7%
25.7%
17.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.1%
24.7%
16.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Kamatamare Sanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Albirex Niigata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kamatamare Sanuki than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Albirex Niigata - Kamatamare Sanuki Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
64. Baumann N. (G) 25. Fujiwara S. 5. Fitzgerald M. 77. Funaki K. 26. Sato M. 30. Okumura J. 7. Onishi Y. 8. Shirai E. 17. Shimabuku K. 46. Kasai K. 18. Wakatsuki Y.
23. Takahashi C. (G) 44. Hayashida K. 40. Takashima S. 29. Tao K. 17. Makiyama K. 66. Woo S. 6. Miyazaki S. 60. Morikawa Y. 13. Maekawa T. 11. Sano R. 77. Murakami Y.
Substitutes
22. Arai T. 34. Fujiwara Y. 15. Hayakawa F. 3. Kato T. 55. Moraes M. 38. Mori K. 24. Mori R. 13. Ochiai R. 23. Yoshimitsu D. (G)
86. Asada H. 90. Goto Y. 1. Imamura Y. (G) 14. Ishikura J. 15. Iwamoto K. 20. Lee Gi-San 8. Mori Y. 30. Oka H. 35. Sago S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Shimabuku K. ⚽, Wakatsuki Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Wakatsuki Y. ↓, Moraes M. ↑,
46', Woo S. ↓, Goto Y. ↑,
46', Maekawa T. ↓, Iwamoto K. ↑,
54', Tao K. 🟨,
55', Onishi Y. ↓, Arai T. ↑,
58', Makiyama K. ↓, Asada H. ↑,
61', 2 - 0, Kasai K. ⚽, Shimabuku K. (A),
65', Okumura J. ↓, Ochiai R. ↑,
65', Fujiwara S. ↓, Hayakawa F. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Funaki K. (Own goal),
70', Sano R. ↓, Sago S. ↑,
74', Shimabuku K. ↓, Mori R. ↑,
83', Takashima S. ↓, Oka H. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
Niigata has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Kamatamare has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Kamatamare may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Niigata is seen as the favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
Including home match between the teams, Niigata won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
China
Japan
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Baumann N. (G) 
Fujiwara S. 
Shimabuku K. 
Woo S. 
Moraes M. 
