Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 13

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Toyama Stadium (Toyama)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Kataller Toyama		Albirex Niigata

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.2	3.7
	2.15	3.2	3
	2.19	3.35	3.24
	2.17	3.36	3.22	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3
	2.23	3.33	3.12	Watch
	2.43	3.2	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.43)	3.26 ↑ (3.2)	3.15 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kataller Toyama
42.6%

Draw
28.2%

Albirex Niigata
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

28.9%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

28.2%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kataller Toyama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Kataller Toyama - Albirex Niigata Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kataller Toyama will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Albirex Niigata will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hirao T. (G) 13. Fukazawa S. 56. Okamoto S. 3. Kagawa Y. 8. Matsuoka D. 34. Takenaka G. 14. Tanimoto S. 28. Fuseya S. 17. Yunomae M. 9. Yoshihira T. 39. Furukawa M.	64. Baumann N. (G) 25. Fujiwara S. 2. Geria J. 77. Funaki K. 26. Sato M. 30. Okumura J. 22. Arai T. 7. Onishi Y. 40. Ishiyama A. 55. Moraes M. 18. Wakatsuki Y.
Substitutes
18. Ito T. 20. Jung Woo-Young 77. Kagawa T. 7. Kameda A. 42. Kim T. 23. Nishiya S. 21. Terakado R. (G) 15. Tsuboi K. 48. Ueda K.	5. Fitzgerald M. 15. Hayakawa F. 19. Hoshi Y. 46. Kasai K. 3. Kato T. 13. Ochiai R. 28. Shimamura T. 8. Shirai E. 23. Yoshimitsu D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Fujiwara S. 🟨,
33', Kagawa Y. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Fuseya S. ⚽, Furukawa M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Matsuoka D. ↓, Nishiya S. ↑,
46', Furukawa M. ↓, Tsuboi K. ↑,
51', Sato M. ↓, Kato T. ↑,
51', Ishiyama A. ↓, Kasai K. ↑,
57', Yunomae M. ↓, Kameda A. ↑,
57', Kagawa Y. ↓, Kagawa T. ↑,
59', Geria J. 🟨,
64', Wakatsuki Y. ↓, Shimamura T. ↑,
64', Okumura J. ↓, Ochiai R. ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Tsuboi K. ⚽, Takenaka G. (A),
78', Arai T. ↓, Hoshi Y. ↑,
85', Takenaka G. ↓, Ueda K. ↑,
90+3', Kagawa T. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ))

Kataller Toyama is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Niigata is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kataller Toyama will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kataller Toyama won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 3:3).

Including home match between the teams, Kataller Toyama won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.

Last Results with these Odds

Kataller Toyama - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.06%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Albirex Niigata - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 33.03%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kataller Toyama
Japan J2 J3 League
25.04.26	Imabari - Kataller Toyama	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Kataller Toyama - Kochi United	4:0 ✺
11.04.26	Osaka - Kataller Toyama	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Kataller Toyama - Nara Club	5:2 ✺
29.03.26	Kataller Toyama - Imabari	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWWW
- Albirex Niigata
Japan J2 J3 League
25.04.26	Albirex Niigata - Osaka	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Albirex Niigata - Imabari	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Kochi United - Albirex Niigata	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Albirex Niigata - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:0 penalties ✺
29.03.26	Osaka - Albirex Niigata	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
20.03.26	Albirex Niigata - Kataller Toyama	2:3
Japan Emperors Cup
19.07.23	Kataller Toyama - Albirex Niigata	3:4 ET

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