The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Albirex Niigata 36.4%
Draw 29.3%
Osaka 34.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.9%
27.6%
27.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.6%
27.8%
27.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Albirex Niigata's form might have worsened.
Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Osaka's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Albirex Niigata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Osaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
Albirex Niigata - Osaka Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Albirex Niigata will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
64. Baumann N. (G) 25. Fujiwara S. 2. Geria J. 77. Funaki K. 26. Sato M. 30. Okumura J. 22. Arai T. 7. Onishi Y. 17. Shimabuku K. 55. Moraes M. 18. Wakatsuki Y.
1. Sugawara H. (G) 11. Tsutsumi S. 40. Kawakami R. 4. Yamashita R. 13. Mima K. 10. Kubo R. 37. Iesaka Y. 19. Masuda S. 41. Nose R. 7. Kitsui T. 28. Toya T.
Substitutes
5. Fitzgerald M. 15. Hayakawa F. 40. Ishiyama A. 46. Kasai K. 38. Mori K. 13. Ochiai R. 28. Shimamura T. 8. Shirai E. 23. Yoshimitsu D. (G)
15. Fukui K. 88. Matsumoto K. 36. Morimura S. 18. Natsukawa Y. 2. Sakamoto K. 31. Sekinuma N. (G) 9. Shimada T. 35. Shin K. 14. Sumida S.
Coaches
Funakoshi Y.
Yabuta M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Kitsui T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Wakatsuki Y. ⚽, Moraes M. (A),
59', Kitsui T. ↓, Shimada T. ↑,
59', Nose R. ↓, Natsukawa Y. ↑,
70', Wakatsuki Y. ↓, Kasai K. ↑,
71', Kubo R. ↓, Morimura S. ↑,
75', Arai T. ↓, Shirai E. ↑,
86', Iesaka Y. ↓, Sumida S. ↑,
87', Toya T. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
90+2', Okumura J. ↓, Ochiai R. ↑,
90+2', Shimabuku K. ↓, Hayakawa F. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
In recent matches, Niigata has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Osaka is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Niigata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Niigata won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Last Results with these Odds
Albirex Niigata - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.87%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
China
Japan
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Baumann N. (G) 
Fujiwara S. 
Geria J. 
Shimabuku K. 
Moraes M. 
Shin K. 
