Match Info

Date: 1 May 2022, Sunday


	Alcorcón		Girona

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.75	1.83	Watch
	4	3.3	1.82
	4.1	3.65	1.8
	4.1	3.4	1.83
	4.42	3.65	1.89
	3.9	3.2	2	Watch
	4.35	3.7	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↑ (4.05)	3.52 ↑ (3.37)	1.86 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
22.6%

Draw
26.7%

Girona
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

28.1%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

28%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	8.3%	66.7%

Alcorcón - Girona Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Alcorcón will win (votes: 6 - 25%). Girona will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Girona: 47.8% – 85.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Alcorcón is Relegated to

Alcorcón has the most likely position - 22 (96.38%), has project points - 28, has currently - 22, was already of relegated.

Girona has the most likely position - 4 (29.45%), has project points - 69, has currently - 61, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (89%), has a chance of promoted (28%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 33, small importance 17, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 0.

Alcorcón is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Girona is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alcorcón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Girona is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 17-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcorcón won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish LaLiga2
24.04.22	Alcorcón - Real Oviedo	1:2 ✺
16.04.22	Cartagena - Alcorcón	3:1 ✺
09.04.22	Alcorcón - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
02.04.22	Real Sociedad B - Alcorcón	2:4 ✺
27.03.22	Alcorcón - Valladolid	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLTWL
- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga2
23.04.22	Cartagena - Girona	3:0 ✺
18.04.22	Girona - Real Sociedad B	2:0 ✺
10.04.22	Zaragoza - Girona	1:0 ✺
01.04.22	Girona - Málaga	1:0 ✺
27.03.22	Almería - Girona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
04.11.21	Girona - Alcorcón	3:1
24.05.21	Girona - Alcorcón	1:0
27.11.20	Alcorcón - Girona	1:0
20.07.20	Alcorcón - Girona	2:0
27.10.19	Girona - Alcorcón	0:0
20.05.17	Girona - Alcorcón	0:0
11.12.16	Alcorcón - Girona	2:1

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