The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zaragoza 35.4%
Draw 30.9%
Girona 33.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.4%
29.7%
29.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.8%
31.5%
28.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zaragoza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Girona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Zaragoza - Girona Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).
Zaragoza has the most likely position - 14 (12.77%), has project points - 55, has currently - 44, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Girona has the most likely position - 4 (33.86%), has project points - 71, has currently - 58, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (86%), has a chance of promoted (38%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
This event has quality37, small importance23, small match rating30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Zaragoza won 0.
Recent matches Zaragoza is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Girona is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Girona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Zaragoza won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15-23.
Including matches at home between the teams Zaragoza won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-14.