Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 14

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Alcorcón		Racing Santander

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	3	Watch
	2.4	3	2.87
	2.45	3.1	2.95	Watch
	2.57	3.15	3.13
	2.57	3.13	3.13
	2.25	3.1	3.1
	2.43	3.2	2.96	Watch
	2.44	3.15	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.52)	3.13 ↓ (3.22)	3.01 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
38.6%

Draw
30.1%

Racing Santander
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

29%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

30.2%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Alcorcón aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	27.3%	63.6%

Alcorcón - Racing Santander Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Alcorcón will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Racing will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ruiz J. (G) 4. Rivas Viondi O. 6. Babin J. 2. Castro J. 20. Lopez I. 15. Lara J. 18. Eteki Y. 19. Quintilla X. 8. Rodriganez J. 26. Addai E. 9. Borrego C.	13. Ezkieta J. (G) 23. Fernandez D. 5. Sanchez G. 2. Mantilla A. 3. Garcia S. 16. Morante I. 19. Grenier C. 11. Martin A. 17. Peque 10. Vicente I. 14. Zenitagoia E.
Substitutes
13. Anacker L. (G) 22. Artola J. 7. Bustos A. 29. Callis E. 23. Chema 30. Garcia I. 14. Lopez A. 3. Morillas D. 21. Obieta K. 11. Sousa D.	21. Aldasoro A. 15. Alves R. 9. Arana J. 27. Cabanzon Y. 40. Garcia M. 22. Gutierrez J. 20. Junior L. 4. Moreno P. 1. Parera P. M. (G) 8. Pombo J. 6. Sainz-Maza I. 7. Sangalli M.
Coaches
Fernandez F.	Lopez J.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Alcorcón have a series of guest games.

Alcorcón will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcorcón won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Navalcarnero - Alcorcón	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
29.10.23	Real Oviedo - Alcorcón	2:0 ✺
23.10.23	Alcorcón - Cartagena	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	FC Andorra - Alcorcón	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Zaragoza - Alcorcón	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLTLW
- Racing Santander
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Zamora - Racing Santander	3:2 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
29.10.23	Racing Santander - Ferrol	1:3 ✺
22.10.23	Racing Santander - Burgos	3:0 ✺
14.10.23	Cartagena - Racing Santander	2:3 ✺
07.10.23	Racing Santander - Sporting de Gijón	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
02.02.20	Racing Santander - Alcorcón	1:1
02.11.19	Alcorcón - Racing Santander	1:0
02.05.15	Alcorcón - Racing Santander	2:0
30.11.14	Racing Santander - Alcorcón	0:1
06.04.13	Alcorcón - Racing Santander	0:1
03.11.12	Racing Santander - Alcorcón	2:1

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