Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 1 November 2023, Wednesday


	Zamora		Racing Santander

	1	X	2
	4	3.1	2.05
	3.6	3.3	2.05	Watch
	3.75	3.1	2.05	Watch
	3.55	2.9	2.09
	3.7	3.1	2.15	Watch
	3.68	3.1	2.14	Watch
	3.65	3.2	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↓ (5.74)	3.11 ↓ (3.53)	2.08 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamora
25.2%

Draw
30%

Racing Santander
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

26.5%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3%

28.2%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zamora's performance.

Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Racing Santander might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zamora that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Racing Santander could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Zamora - Racing Santander Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Zamora will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Racing will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zamora: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Sobron F. (G) 2. Parra C. 3. Luengo Herrera L. M. 5. Alvarez A. 22. Castaneda J. 8. Juanan 11. Mancebo A. 7. Hernandez D. 10. Ramos C. 20. Marce R. 24. Luis R.	1. Parera P. M. (G) 7. Sangalli M. 4. Moreno P. 15. Alves R. 40. Garcia M. 6. Sainz-Maza I. 21. Aldasoro A. 27. Cabanzon Y. 8. Pombo J. 20. Junior L. 14. Zenitagoia E.
Substitutes
18. Baldrich S. 25. Brian B. 16. Etxaburu A. 6. Goni M. 17. Lopez V. 12. Morales A. 15. Munoz J. 9. Pito Camacho 19. Temenuzhkov K. 14. Theo 1. Troya D. (G)	9. Arana J. 13. Ezkieta J. (G) 23. Fernandez D. 3. Garcia S. 19. Grenier C. 22. Gutierrez J. 2. Mantilla A. 11. Martin A. 16. Morante I. 17. Peque 10. Vicente I.

Preview

Zamora is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Racing is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Racing could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Racing is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Zamora won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Zamora won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamora CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.10.23	Zamora - Real Oviedo B	3:0 ✺
22.10.23	Deportivo A Coruña B - Zamora	0:0 ✺
15.10.23	Zamora - Pontevedra	0:4 ✺
07.10.23	Ourense CF - Zamora	0:3 ✺
01.10.23	Zamora - Coruxo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTLWW
- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
29.10.23	Racing Santander - Ferrol	1:3 ✺
22.10.23	Racing Santander - Burgos	3:0 ✺
14.10.23	Cartagena - Racing Santander	2:3 ✺
07.10.23	Racing Santander - Sporting de Gijón	3:2 ✺
03.10.23	Tenerife - Racing Santander	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.03.22	Racing Santander - Zamora	2:1
21.11.21	Zamora - Racing Santander	0:3

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