Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 27

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Sardinero (Santander)

Referee: Ais S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Racing Santander		Burgos

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.3	3.7	Watch
	1.98	3.25	3.7	Watch
	1.98	3.42	4.43
	1.98	3.4	3.93	Watch
	2	3.1	3.75
	2.01	3.33	3.93	Watch
	1.84	3.33	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.87)	3.3 ↓ (3.51)	3.99 ↓ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Santander
47.8%

Draw
28.5%

Burgos
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

27%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

26.5%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84%	4%	12%

Racing Santander - Burgos Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.5 - Burgos (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Racing Santander will win (21 of 25 users predict this - 84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.63% – 98.37%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Racing Santander will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Burgos (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ezkieta J. (G) 2. Mantilla A. (C) 4. Manu 16. Gonzalez F. 32. Salinas J. 23. Rodriguez D. 14. Gueye M. 11. Martin A. 18. Canales P. 10. Vicente I. 7. Guliashvili G.	13. Cantero A. (G) 2. Lizancos A. 6. Gonzalez S. 8. Sierra G. 12. Miguel F. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 23. Morante I. 5. Atienza M. (C) 21. Cordoba I. 7. Mejia M. 16. Curro
Substitutes
8. Aldasoro A. 20. Camara S. 5. Castro J. 13. Eriksson S. (G) 44. Fuentes D. 3. Garcia M. 17. Mata J. 6. Sainz-Maza I. 15. Sangalli M. 36. Sergio M.	10. Appin K. 15. Bunuel A. 17. Cantero M. 28. del Cerro S. 33. Exposito M. 4. Galdames P. 31. Garcia F. 20. Gonzalez M. 3. Luengo O. 22. Martinez B. 11. Mollejo V. 1. Ruiz J. (G)
Coaches
Lopez J.	Ramis L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Martin A. ⚽,
27', Sierra G. 🟨,
45', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Martin A. 🟨,
57', Gueye M. ↓, Sainz-Maza I. ↑,
57', Vicente I. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
61', Camara S. 🟨,
61', Mejia M. ↓, Appin K. ↑,
71', Guliashvili G. ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
71', Rodriguez D. ↓, Sergio M. ↑,
74', Cordoba I. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
75', Curro ↓, Mollejo V. ↑,
83', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
83', Morante I. ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
84', Miguel F. 🟨,
90', Martin A. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Racing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Racing is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Racing: Lozano M. (Knee Injury) Puerta G. (Red Card) Ramon P. (Hamstring Injury) Villalibre A. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Racing won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:2. (average 1.1:0.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Burgos CF	8	4	2	2	12:9	3	14

Last Results with these Odds

Racing Santander - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50.61%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
15.02.26	Eibar - Racing Santander	2:1 ✺
09.02.26	Racing Santander - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Granada - Racing Santander	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Racing Santander	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Racing Santander - Las Palmas	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWLWW
- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
14.02.26	Burgos - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Las Palmas - Burgos	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Burgos - Leganés	2:1 ✺
23.01.26	Málaga - Burgos	3:0 ✺
18.01.26	Burgos - Huesca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
23.11.25	Burgos - Racing Santander	0:2
09.02.25	Burgos - Racing Santander	2:1
16.11.24	Racing Santander - Burgos	2:0
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Burgos - Racing Santander	2:1
Spanish LaLiga2
14.04.24	Burgos - Racing Santander	2:1
22.10.23	Racing Santander - Burgos	3:0
Club Friendly
15.07.23	Racing Santander - Burgos	0:0

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