Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 40

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo (Alcorcón)

Referee: Frances R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports Max


	Alcorcón		Valladolid

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.88	2.25	Watch
	3.4	2.87	2.15
	3.6	2.95	2.2	Watch
	3.8	3.03	2.27
	3.78	3.03	2.28
	3.83	3.04	2.17	Watch
	3.6	2.9	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↓ (3.79)	2.96 ↓ (3)	2.22 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
25.7%

Draw
31.9%

Valladolid
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

30.8%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

30.1%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	26.3%	63.2%

Alcorcón - Valladolid Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Alcorcón will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Valladolid will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valladolid: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ruiz J. (G) 20. Lopez I. 2. Castro J. 4. Rivas Viondi O. 19. Quintilla X. 17. Garcia V. 16. Perez J. 5. Mosquera P. 26. Addai E. 8. Rodriganez J. 14. Fede	1. Masip J. (G) 2. Perez L. 34. Tarrega C. 5. Sanchez J. 18. Escudero S. 4. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 12. Lucas Oliveira 8. Monchu 10. Sanchez I. 21. Negredo A. 11. Moro R.
Substitutes
13. Anacker L. (G) 22. Artola J. 6. Babin J. 24. Bilbao I. 29. Callis E. 18. Eteki Y. 10. Juanma Bravo 15. Lara J. 3. Morillas D. 21. Obieta K. 33. Sanca M. 11. Sousa D.	17. Biuk S. 6. Boyomo F. 16. de la Hoz C. 13. Ferreira A. (G) 20. Juric S. 22. Rosa L. 38. Salazar I. P. 7. Sylla M. 3. Torres D.
Coaches
Nafti M.	Pezzolano P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Lucas Oliveira 🟨,
14', Perez J. ↓, Juanma Bravo ↑,
14', 1 - 0, Fede ⚽, Addai E. (A),
32', Sanchez J. 🟨,
36', Quintilla X. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Fede 🟨,
66', 1 - 1, Negredo A. ⚽,
67', Lucas Oliveira ↓, de la Hoz C. ↑,
67', Negredo A. ↓, Salazar I. P. ↑,
67', Sanchez I. ↓, Biuk S. ↑,
71', Salazar I. P. 🟨,
71', Escudero S. ↓, Rosa L. ↑,
72', Fede ↓, Lara J. ↑,
72', Addai E. ↓, Sanca M. ↑,
78', Sanchez J. ↓, Boyomo F. ↑,
84', Mosquera P. ↓, Sousa D. ↑,
84', Garcia V. ↓, Obieta K. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 1.

Alcorcón is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Valladolid is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Valladolid will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 7-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcorcón won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish LaLiga2
11.05.24	Ferrol - Alcorcón	2:1 ✺
04.05.24	Cartagena - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Alcorcón - Eldense	0:0 ✺
21.04.24	Eibar - Alcorcón	2:0 ✺
15.04.24	Alcorcón - Villarreal B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTLW
- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
11.05.24	Valladolid - Espanyol	0:0 ✺
04.05.24	Mirandés - Valladolid	0:1 ✺
28.04.24	Valladolid - Huesca	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Amorebieta - Valladolid	0:3 ✺
13.04.24	Valladolid - Eldense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
26.08.23	Valladolid - Alcorcón	0:2
27.03.22	Alcorcón - Valladolid	1:2
26.09.21	Valladolid - Alcorcón	2:0
10.03.18	Alcorcón - Valladolid	0:0
12.10.17	Valladolid - Alcorcón	4:0
19.03.17	Alcorcón - Valladolid	1:2
08.10.16	Valladolid - Alcorcón	2:0

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