Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 36

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Lezama Facilities (Lezama)

Referee: Orellana M. (Esp)


	Amorebieta		Valladolid

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.1	2.15	Watch
	3.6	2.9	2.1
	3.6	3	2.2	Watch
	3.87	3.07	2.21
	3.87	3.07	2.22
	3.81	3.14	2.13	Watch
	3.6	3.05	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↓ (3.97)	3.05 ↓ (3.17)	2.17 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
25.5%

Draw
31%

Valladolid
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

29.7%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

29.8%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	36.4%	45.5%

Amorebieta - Valladolid Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Amorebieta will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Valladolid will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valladolid: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 5. Bustinza U. 3. Etxeita X. 28. Garreta F. 16. Lasure D. 15. Nunez A. 8. Moran E. 20. Sibo K. 10. Edwards R. 7. Dorrio J. 9. Jauregi E.	1. Masip J. (G) 2. Perez L. 5. Sanchez J. 34. Tarrega C. 18. Escudero S. 4. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 12. Lucas Oliveira 8. Monchu 23. Anuar 21. Negredo A. 11. Moro R.
Substitutes
21. Carbonell A. 30. Cunat P. (G) 14. Eraso J. 24. Gaya J. 19. Locadia J. 1. Marino U. (G) 22. Morcillo J. 17. Rodriguez R. 11. Seguin I. 23. Unzueta I. 6. Yriarte J.	6. Boyomo F. 16. de la Hoz C. 13. Ferreira A. (G) 20. Juric S. 9. Marcos Andre 19. Ndiaye A. 22. Rosa L. 38. Salazar I. P. 10. Sanchez I. 3. Torres D.
Coaches
Jandro	Pezzolano P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Anuar 🟨,
41', Garreta F. 🟥,
45', Lasure D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Anuar ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
46', Edwards R. ↓, Gaya J. ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Escudero S. ⚽, Moro R. (A),
51', Bustinza U. 🟨,
52', 0 - 2, Escudero S. ⚽,
59', Lasure D. ↓, Morcillo J. ↑,
59', Moran E. ↓, Yriarte J. ↑,
64', Escudero S. ↓, Rosa L. ↑,
65', Moro R. ↓, Ndiaye A. ↑,
67', Negredo A. ↓, Marcos Andre ↑,
69', Jauregi E. ↓, Unzueta I. ↑,
74', Sibo K. ↓, Carbonell A. ↑,
80', Etxeita X. 🟨,
84', 0 - 3, Marcos Andre ⚽, Ndiaye A. (A),
87', Meseguer Cavas V. A. ↓, Juric S. ↑,
90', Juric S. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Amorebieta in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Valladolid is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Amorebieta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Valladolid will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Amorebieta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish LaLiga2
13.04.24	Levante - Amorebieta	1:2 ✺
05.04.24	Amorebieta - Ferrol	3:1 ✺
31.03.24	Alcorcón - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
24.03.24	Amorebieta - Sporting de Gijón	3:1 ✺
18.03.24	FC Andorra - Amorebieta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.1 WWTWW
- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
13.04.24	Valladolid - Eldense	1:0 ✺
07.04.24	Cartagena - Valladolid	0:2 ✺
30.03.24	Valladolid - Levante	0:0 ✺
24.03.24	Valladolid - Eibar	3:1 ✺
17.03.24	Ferrol - Valladolid	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
09.12.23	Valladolid - Amorebieta	2:1
27.02.22	Valladolid - Amorebieta	5:1
03.11.21	Amorebieta - Valladolid	4:1
Club Friendly
06.08.21	Valladolid - Amorebieta	2:2

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