Match Info

Date: 12 September 2021, Sunday


	Ponferradina		Almería

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.4	3.3	2.1
	3.7	3.3	2.05	Watch
	3.35	3.25	2.12
	3.59	3.39	2.2
	2.9	3.2	2.35	Watch
	3.42	3.48	2.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.93)	3.35 ↑ (3.27)	2.15 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponferradina
27.8%

Draw
28.2%

Almería
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

28.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

20%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+17.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ponferradina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-16.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Almería, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ponferradina - Almería Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Ponferradina has the most likely position - 15 (5.53%), has project points - 55, has currently - 9, has a chance of relegated (18%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (16%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Almería has the most likely position - 1 (27.1%), has project points - 75, has currently - 9, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (32%), has a good chance of promoted (51%), has a chance of win league (27%).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Ponferradina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Almería will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Ponferradina
Club Friendly
08.09.21	Barco - Ponferradina	0:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
04.09.21	Tenerife - Ponferradina	2:0 ✺
28.08.21	Ponferradina - Girona	2:1 ✺
22.08.21	Eibar - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
14.08.21	Ponferradina - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WLWWW
- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
04.09.21	Almería - Málaga	2:0 ✺
29.08.21	Amorebieta - Almería	2:1 ✺
20.08.21	Almería - Real Oviedo	2:1 ✺
16.08.21	Cartagena - Almería	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.21	Betis - Almería	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
21.03.21	Ponferradina - Almería	2:1
03.01.21	Almería - Ponferradina	3:1
17.07.20	Ponferradina - Almería	2:1
22.12.19	Almería - Ponferradina	2:3
17.04.16	Ponferradina - Almería	1:3
15.11.15	Almería - Ponferradina	1:1
24.02.13	Almería - Ponferradina	4:1

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