Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 37

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Plantío (Burgos)

Referee: Fuentes Molina A. (Esp)


	Burgos		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.75	5	Watch
	1.62	3.5	5.25
	1.75	3.5	4.75
	1.67	3.66	6.04
	1.67	3.66	6.04
	1.73	3.5	4.6
	1.7	3.68	5.25	Watch
	1.68	3.6	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.75)	3.61 ↑ (3.45)	5.24 ↑ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Burgos
55.9%

Draw
26.1%

Amorebieta
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

27.1%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

28.4%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	7.7%	23.1%

Burgos - Amorebieta Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Amorebieta will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burgos: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Caro J. (G) 4. Arroyo A. 18. Aitor Cordoba (C) 20. Sierra G. 23. Matos Jose 12. Appin K. 22. Munoz M. 16. Curro 21. Montiel J. 10. Bermejo A. 9. Nino F.	13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 15. Nunez A. 5. Bustinza U. 3. Etxeita X. (C) 24. Gaya J. 16. Lasure D. 7. Dorrio J. 8. Moran E. 20. Sibo K. 22. Morcillo J. 9. Jauregi E.
Substitutes
1. Badiashile L. (G) 19. Espiau Hernandez E. D. 2. Gonzalez B. 8. Martin A. 35. Molina A. 7. Ojeda D. 30. Ricoy L.	21. Carbonell A. 30. Cunat P. (G) 14. Eraso J. 19. Locadia J. 1. Marino U. (G) 17. Rodriguez R. 11. Seguin I. 23. Unzueta I. 6. Yriarte J.
Coaches
Bolo	Jandro

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Sierra G. 🟨,
8', 1 - 0, Nino F. ⚽, Matos Jose (A),
12', Montiel J. 🟨,
35', Lasure D. 🟨,
44', Moran E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 2 - 0, Curro ⚽, Bermejo A. (A),
58', Gaya J. ↓, Unzueta I. ↑,
59', Munoz M. 🟨,
77', 2 - 1, Morcillo J. ⚽,
78', Bermejo A. ↓, Martin A. ↑,
79', 2 - 2, Morcillo J. ⚽, Moran E. (A),
88', Appin K. ↓, Ojeda D. ↑,
89', Jauregi E. ↓, Yriarte J. ↑,
90+7', Moran E. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
90+7', Arroyo A. ↓, Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↑,
90+7', Nino F. ↓, Gonzalez B. ↑,
90+8', Ojeda D. 🟨,
90+14', Rodriguez R. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Burgos won 1.

Burgos is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Amorebieta is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Burgos is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Burgos won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Burgos won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
21.04.24	Mirandés - Burgos	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Burgos - Racing Santander	2:1 ✺
07.04.24	Villarreal B - Burgos	2:1 ✺
29.03.24	Burgos - Espanyol	0:0 ✺
24.03.24	Huesca - Burgos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLTL
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish LaLiga2
20.04.24	Amorebieta - Valladolid	0:3 ✺
13.04.24	Levante - Amorebieta	1:2 ✺
05.04.24	Amorebieta - Ferrol	3:1 ✺
31.03.24	Alcorcón - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
24.03.24	Amorebieta - Sporting de Gijón	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
03.12.23	Amorebieta - Burgos	0:1
Club Friendly
22.07.23	Burgos - Amorebieta	0:1
Spanish LaLiga2
31.12.21	Burgos - Amorebieta	2:2
11.09.21	Amorebieta - Burgos	2:2
Club Friendly
14.07.21	Amorebieta - Burgos	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
27.10.19	Burgos - Amorebieta	1:2
06.05.18	Burgos - Amorebieta	0:0

Upcoming Matches