Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 37

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Mirador (Algeciras)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Algeciras		Alcoyano

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.4	1.83
	3.4	3.25	1.93
	3.95	3.4	1.87
	3.92	3.38	1.9
	3.89	3.46	1.84	Watch
	3.94	3.44	1.86
	3.95	3.4	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (2.25)	3.39 ↑ (3.24)	1.87 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Algeciras
23.9%

Draw
27.1%

Alcoyano
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

28.4%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

27.1%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Algeciras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Algeciras's form might have worsened.

Alcoyano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alcoyano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (+19%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Algeciras, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (-19.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alcoyano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Algeciras - Alcoyano Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alcoyano will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alcoyano will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Garcia L. (G) 20. Adot Barandiaran P. A. 5. Gaixas A. 22. Coch A. 3. Merchan D. 24. Larrea P. 19. Illesca M. 17. Leiva A. 10. Esteban Diego 11. Sanchez T. 9. Gonzaga Delage Cruzado L.	13. Valens J. (G) 14. Anton J. 2. Ferriz P. 4. Farru 3. Rodriguez A. 7. Herrera C. 8. Molina D. 20. Undabarrena E. 6. Garcia I. 23. Pastrana V. 19. Losada M.
Substitutes
21. Celorio N. 31. Dominiguez C. 25. Fernandez D. (G) 15. Fernandez M. 32. Gonzalez R. 18. Hernandez Garcia J. 14. Javi Alonso 27. Recagno D. 7. Rodri 4. Spatz L. M. 8. Turrillo I. 1. Venteo I. (G)	5. Albisua H. 15. Blanco C. 9. de Palmas R. 1. Garcia M. (G) 26. Jorda 24. Qasmi Y. 28. Triguero D. 22. Velazquez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Anton J. ↓, de Palmas R. ↑,
15', 1 - 0, Gonzaga Delage Cruzado L. ⚽,
18', Garcia I. 🟨,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Coch A. ↓, Spatz L. M. ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Sanchez T. ⚽,
66', Sanchez T. ↓, Celorio N. ↑,
67', 🟨,
80', Gonzaga Delage Cruzado L. ↓, Turrillo I. ↑,
85', 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 1, Albisua H. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Algeciras is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Alcoyano has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Algeciras may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Alcoyano could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Algeciras won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Algeciras won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.05.25	Hércules - Algeciras	1:2 ✺
02.05.25	Algeciras - Betis B	2:2 ✺
26.04.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Algeciras	2:2 ✺
20.04.25	Algeciras - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Algeciras - Alcorcón	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WTTTW
- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
10.05.25	Alcoyano - Intercity	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Alcoyano	0:3 ✺
26.04.25	Alcoyano - Recreativo Huelva	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Atlético Madrid B - Alcoyano	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Alcoyano - Fuenlabrada	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.08.24	Alcoyano - Algeciras	1:1
03.02.24	Algeciras - Alcoyano	1:1
29.10.23	Alcoyano - Algeciras	1:0
19.02.22	Algeciras - Alcoyano	1:2
31.10.21	Alcoyano - Algeciras	0:0

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