Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Trophy - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Recreation Ground (Aldershot)


	Aldershot Town		Chertsey Town

	1	X	2
	1.29	5.6	7.8
	1.31	5.63	7.68
	1.29	5	8.5
	1.26	5.75	8.65
	1.29	5.6	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.38)	5.52 ↑ (4.78)	8.09 ↑ (6.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldershot Town
71.8%

Draw
16.8%

Chertsey Town
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

19.4%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

18.3%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Chertsey Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aldershot Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chertsey Town than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Aldershot Town - Chertsey Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Maghoma C. ⚽,
11', 2 - 0, Henry J. ⚽,
25', 3 - 0, Jones R. ⚽,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
70', 4 - 0, Corbett K. ⚽,
85', 5 - 0, Corbett K. ⚽,
88', 6 - 0, Corbett K. ⚽,
88', 7 - 0, Stuttle J. ⚽,
90+1', 8 - 0, Corbett K. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Aldershot could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Aldershot is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aldershot Town
English National League
01.01.25	Sutton United - Aldershot Town	1:1 ✺
26.12.24	Aldershot Town - Woking	2:2 ✺
21.12.24	Forest Green Rovers - Aldershot Town	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Aldershot Town - Halifax Town	3:4 ✺
10.12.24	Solihull Moors - Aldershot Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTTLL
- Chertsey Town
English Southern League South Division
28.12.24	Chertsey Town - Tiverton Town	2:2 ✺
26.12.24	Hanwell Town - Chertsey Town	1:2 ✺
21.12.24	Chertsey Town - Havant & Waterlooville	0:4 ✺
14.12.24	Gloucester City - Chertsey Town	3:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
11.12.24	Chertsey Town - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWLLW

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