The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Forest Green Rovers 50.5%
Draw 24.1%
Aldershot Town 25.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.2%
21.4%
21.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.5%
23%
19.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Forest Green Rovers's form might have worsened.
Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+11%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Forest Green Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aldershot Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Forest Green Rovers - Aldershot Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
42. Isted H. (G) 47. Ahmed A. 19. Mingi J. J. 32. Kanu A. 24. Buyabu J. 7. McAllister K. 6. Mendy L. 18. Campbell T. 11. Knowles T. 26. Nwoko C. 44. Mellor D.
41. Boyce-Clarke C. (G) 19. Hill R. (C) 25. Nightingale W. 15. Grogan C. 31. Sheckleford R. 7. Hargreaves C. 14. Meerholz J. 17. Henry J. 24. Warren C. 20. Vaughan H. 10. Barrett J.
Substitutes
16. Bunker H. 14. Clarke J. . Doidge C. 8. Haughton N. 3. Kengni N. 12. Pagel F. (G) 21. Pemberton T.
12. Anderson K. 8. Frost T. 16. Nash P. (G) 27. Nelson T. 11. Peart B. 42. Penney M. 9. Thomas K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Campbell T. ⚽,
20', Mellor D. 🟨,
28', 2 - 0, Knowles T. ⚽,
34', Sheckleford R. 🟨,
43', Campbell T. 🟨,
44', Meerholz J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Henry J. ↓, Peart B. ↑,
46', Sheckleford R. ↓, Penney M. ↑,
46', Barrett J. ↓, Thomas K. ↑,
59', Buyabu J. ↓, Kengni N. ↑,
59', Mingi J. J. ↓, Bunker H. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Warren C. ⚽, Peart B. (A),
72', Knowles T. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
72', Ahmed A. ↓, Pemberton T. ↑,
76', Stewart C. ↓, Nelson T. ↑,
79', Nwoko C. ↓, Haughton N. ↑,
82', Meerholz J. ↓, Frost T. ↑,
90+1', Isted H. 🟨,
90+3', Frost T. 🟨,
90+5', Peart B. 🟨,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forest Green won 3.
Forest Green is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Aldershot is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Forest Green is a strong favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Forest Green won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:14. (average 2.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Forest Green won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Aldershot
13
5
3
5
18:16
2
18
16
Forest Green
12
4
3
5
19:22
-3
15
Last Results with these Odds
Forest Green Rovers - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.23%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.