Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 36

Date: 4 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Recreation Ground (Aldershot)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK, DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA


	Aldershot Town		Dagenham & Redbridge

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	4.1
	1.92	3.3	3.6
	1.85	3.63	4.18
	1.87	3.57	4	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.7
	1.81	3.64	3.92
	1.92	3.3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.98)	3.43 ↑ (3.34)	3.87 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldershot Town
49.1%

Draw
27%

Dagenham & Redbridge
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

27.5%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

26.2%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Dagenham & Redbridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dagenham & Redbridge than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Aldershot Town - Dagenham & Redbridge Predictions

Users Predictions: Aldershot Town will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Dewhurst M. (G) 36. Armitage W. 22. Barham J. 10. Barrett J. 8. Frost T. 7. Hargreaves C. 17. Jones A. (C) 11. Jones R. 5. Maghoma C. 6. Widdrington T. 33. Woodhouse L.	33. Jones L. (G) 24. Clayton R. 5. Eastman T. 2. Francis C. 4. Hessenthaler J. 10. Hill R. 30. Kalambayi P. 7. Pereira D. 8. Rees J. (C) 21. Rutherford O. 9. Umerah J.
Substitutes
9. Corbett K. 19. Dolaghan B. 35. Ellison D. 32. Maja E. 24. Mullins M. 37. Uwakwe T. 1. van Stappershoef J. (G)	20. Harrack K. 12. Harvey N. (G) 28. Khaleel R. 23. Lawless C. 15. Loupalo-Bi A. 16. Remy S. 17. Rendall T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Hill R. 🟨,
40', Maghoma C. ↓, Ellison D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
81', Widdrington T. ↓, Mullins M. ↑,
81', Jones R. ↓, Uwakwe T. ↑,
88', Umerah J. ↓, Loupalo-Bi A. ↑,
89', Eastman T. ↓, Rendall T. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 18 and 19).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aldershot won 1.

Recent matches Aldershot is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dagenham is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dagenham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Aldershot is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Aldershot won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 24:28 (average 1.2:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Aldershot won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.2:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Aldershot Town - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 46.51%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aldershot Town
English FA Trophy
01.03.25	Sittingbourne - Aldershot Town	0:3 ✺
English National League
25.02.25	Aldershot Town - Solihull Moors	3:1 ✺
22.02.25	Aldershot Town - Hartlepool United	3:2 ✺
18.02.25	Southend United - Aldershot Town	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Eastleigh - Aldershot Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWLL
- Dagenham & Redbridge
English National League
01.03.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Boston United	1:3 ✺
22.02.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Oldham Athletic	2:2 ✺
19.02.25	Eastleigh - Dagenham & Redbridge	3:0 ✺
15.02.25	Fylde - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:1 ✺
11.02.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Woking	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
26.11.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Aldershot Town	3:2
20.04.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Aldershot Town	3:3
30.09.23	Aldershot Town - Dagenham & Redbridge	3:2
21.02.23	Dagenham & Redbridge - Aldershot Town	2:1
10.01.23	Aldershot Town - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:2
18.04.22	Aldershot Town - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:2
28.12.21	Dagenham & Redbridge - Aldershot Town	1:0

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