Match Info

National League - Round 14

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Roots Hall (Southend on Sea) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:00	DAZN
Argentina	11:00	DAZN
Australia	00:00	DAZN
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Belarus	17:00	DAZN
Bolivia	10:00	DAZN
Brazil	11:00	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	17:00	DAZN
Canada	10:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Colombia	09:00	DAZN
Croatia	16:00	DAZN
Cyprus	17:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	16:00	DAZN
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	09:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:00	DAZN
Hong Kong	22:00	DAZN
Hungary	16:00	DAZN
India	19:30	DAZN
Indonesia	21:00	DAZN
Italy	16:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	20:00	DAZN
Latvia	17:00	DAZN
Lithuania	17:00	DAZN
Malaysia	22:00	DAZN
Mexico	08:00	DAZN
New Zealand	03:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	15:00	DAZN
North Macedonia	16:00	DAZN
Norway	16:00	DAZN
Paraguay	10:00	DAZN
Philippines	22:00	DAZN
Poland	16:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App
Romania	17:00	DAZN
Russia	17:00	DAZN
Serbia	16:00	DAZN
Slovenia	16:00	DAZN
South Africa	16:00	DAZN
South Korea	23:00	DAZN
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	DAZN
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	22:00	DAZN
Thailand	21:00	DAZN
Ukraine	17:00	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	18:00	DAZN
United Kingdom	15:00	DAZN
Uruguay	11:00	DAZN
Usa	10:00	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	19:00	DAZN
Venezuela	10:00	DAZN
Vietnam	21:00	DAZN


	Southend United		Aldershot Town

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	6
	1.38	4.5	6
	1.4	4.85	6.3
	1.36	5.34	7.15
	1.16	7.03	13.84	Watch
	1.38	4.65	7.08
	1.38	4.5	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.43)	5.09 ↑ (4.6)	7.45 ↑ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southend United
69.1%

Draw
18.4%

Aldershot Town
12.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.9%

20.1%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

19.4%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southend United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Aldershot Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Southend United - Aldershot Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Andeng Ndi C. (G) 2. Scott-Morriss G. 16. Taylor H. 6. Goodliffe B. 3. Ralph N. (C) 33. Boyes H. 22. Appiah-Forson K. 23. Morton 10. Austin S. 9. Dallas A. 11. Walker J.	1. Dewhurst M. (G) 24. Mullins M. 5. Jackson B. 15. Penman C. 12. Anderson K. 28. Taylor A. 30. Abrahams T. 19. Hill R. 18. Rai K. 9. Thomas K. 10. Barrett J. (C)
Substitutes
7. Bridge J. 28. Coker O. 15. Gubbins J. 1. Hayes N. (G) 14. Hopper T. 17. Miley C. 18. Spasov S.	32. Clarridge J. 23. Ghandour H. 7. Hargreaves C. 17. Henry J. 16. Nash P. (G) 6. Widdrington T.
Coaches
Maher K.	Widdrington T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Dallas A. ⚽,
41', Ralph N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
67', Rai K. ↓, Widdrington T. ↑,
67', Mullins M. ↓, Clarridge J. ↑,
70', Walker J. ↓, Spasov S. ↑,
70', Austin S. ↓, Coker O. ↑,
72', Scott-Morriss G. 🟨,
74', 2 - 0, Spasov S. ⚽, Boyes H. (A),
75', Jackson B. ↓, Hargreaves C. ↑,
75', Anderson K. ↓, Henry J. ↑,
75', Abrahams T. ↓, Ghandour H. ↑,
80', Scott-Morriss G. ↓, Bridge J. ↑,
80', Dallas A. ↓, Hopper T. ↑,
88', 3 - 0, Ralph N. ⚽, Bridge J. (A),
89', Morton ↓, Miley C. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 9 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southend won 2.

Southend has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Aldershot's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Aldershot may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Southend is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Southend won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Southend won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southend United
English National League
30.09.25	Boreham Wood - Southend United	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Southend United - Scunthorpe United	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Eastleigh - Southend United	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Southend United - Boston United	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Southend United - Halifax Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLTW
- Aldershot Town
English National League
30.09.25	Aldershot Town - Braintree Town	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Halifax Town - Aldershot Town	4:2 ✺
24.09.25	Aldershot Town - Yeovil Town	1:4 ✺
20.09.25	Aldershot Town - Hartlepool United	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Carlisle United - Aldershot Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
18.02.25	Southend United - Aldershot Town	2:1
23.10.24	Aldershot Town - Southend United	0:0
24.02.24	Southend United - Aldershot Town	4:1
26.09.23	Aldershot Town - Southend United	1:1
18.03.23	Southend United - Aldershot Town	1:2
26.11.22	Aldershot Town - Southend United	2:0
25.01.22	Aldershot Town - Southend United	1:1

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