Match Info

Date: 1 April 2024, Monday


	Aldershot Town		Dorking Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	4.75
	1.53	4	4.6
	1.55	4.5	5	Watch
	1.58	4.55	4.84
	1.59	4.56	4.85
	1.5	4.33	5
	1.56	4.4	4.76
	1.51	4.3	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.59)	4.33 ↑ (4.3)	4.83 ↑ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldershot Town
59.6%

Draw
21.3%

Dorking Wanderers
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

21.5%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

21.1%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Dorking Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Aldershot Town - Dorking Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Aldershot will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van Stappershoef J. (G) 20. Barrett J. 26. Daly J. 8. Frost T. 11. Glover R. 3. Harfield O. 4. Harries C. 2. Mnoga H. 9. Tolaj L. (C) 6. Widdrington T. 27. Willard T.	1. Male H. (G) 30. Bowerman S. 16. Carter C. 5. Craig T. (C) 25. Kuhl A. 18. Moore L. 7. Muitt J. 2. Philpott I. 9. Prior J. 3. Taylor B. 17. Taylor J.
Substitutes
23. Ghandour H. 7. O'Keefe S. 18. Scott J. 10. Stokes J. 39. Thomas K.	29. Blair T. 22. Fuller B. 19. Hollis H. 6. McManus N. 10. Rutherford A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Barrett J. ⚽,
25', Taylor B. ↓, Fuller B. ↑,
28', Tolaj L. 🟨,
31', Moore L. 🟨,
34', Fuller B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Moore L. ↓, Rutherford A. ↑,
58', Barrett J. ↓, Stokes J. ↑,
63', Bowerman S. ↓, Blair T. ↑,
65', Daly J. 🟨,
70', Widdrington T. ↓, Thomas K. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Rutherford A. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Aldershot is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dorking has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Aldershot is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Aldershot won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Aldershot won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aldershot Town
English National League
29.03.24	Maidenhead United - Aldershot Town	4:0 ✺
23.03.24	Aldershot Town - Solihull Moors	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	York City - Aldershot Town	1:0 ✺
12.03.24	Aldershot Town - Ebbsfleet United	4:1 ✺
09.03.24	Aldershot Town - Oldham Athletic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLWW
- Dorking Wanderers
English National League
29.03.24	Dorking Wanderers - Bromley	0:2 ✺
23.03.24	Barnet - Dorking Wanderers	6:0 ✺
16.03.24	Dorking Wanderers - Solihull Moors	1:1 ✺
12.03.24	Southend United - Dorking Wanderers	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Maidenhead United - Dorking Wanderers	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
28.10.23	Dorking Wanderers - Aldershot Town	2:1
English FA Trophy
11.02.23	Aldershot Town - Dorking Wanderers	1:0
English National League
04.02.23	Aldershot Town - Dorking Wanderers	2:0
29.10.22	Dorking Wanderers - Aldershot Town	0:3

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