The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aldershot Town 67.1%
Draw 20.2%
Ebbsfleet United 12.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.5%
22%
15.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.9%
21.2%
14.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Ebbsfleet United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
16.7%
0%
Aldershot Town - Ebbsfleet United Predictions
Users Predictions:
Aldershot Town will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Dewhurst M. (G) 12. Anderson K. 36. Armitage W. 22. Barham J. 10. Barrett J. 8. Frost T. 7. Hargreaves C. 17. Jones A. (C) 11. Jones R. 38. Laing L. 33. Woodhouse L.
1. Cousins M. (G) 27. Bolger A. 22. Chapman B. 28. Cosgrave A. 16. Domi F. 17. Edser T. 36. Manktelow M. 11. Moncur G. 24. Olagunju M. 2. O'Neil L. 7. Passley J.
Substitutes
14. Bray O. 9. Corbett K. 27. Henry J. 24. Mullins M. 37. Uwakwe T. 1. van Stappershoef J. (G) 6. Widdrington T.
35. Anthony E. 37. Aoraha A. 9. Bingham R. 18. Carr R. 32. Goddard F. (G) 14. Poleon D. 39. Thomas K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 3)
14', 1 - 0, Jones R. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Domi F. ⚽,
19', 2 - 1, Barrett J. ⚽, Jones R. (A),
27', 2 - 2, Moncur G. ⚽,
30', 2 - 3, Cosgrave A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Passley J. ↓, Anthony E. ↑,
60', Laing L. ↓, Henry J. ↑,
64', Anderson K. ↓, Widdrington T. ↑,
65', Anthony E. 🟨,
67', 3 - 3, Frost T. (Pen),
70', Cosgrave A. ↓, Thomas K. ↑,
76', Domi F. ↓, Poleon D. ↑,
81', Moncur G. ↓, Carr R. ↑,
82', Barham J. ↓, Corbett K. ↑,
83', Poleon D. 🟨,
Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 24 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Aldershot won 2.
Aldershot is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Ebbsfleet is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Aldershot could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Aldershot is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Aldershot won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.1:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Aldershot won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.3:1.3).