Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 41

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday

Location: The Hive Stadium (London)


	Barnet		Dorking Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.33	7
	1.35	4.6	6.5
	1.38	5	7
	1.39	5.16	6.83
	1.4	5.16	6.83
	1.33	4.8	7
	1.37	4.85	6.96
	1.34	4.8	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.44)	4.84 ↑ (4.71)	6.89 ↑ (5.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnet
67.5%

Draw
19.1%

Dorking Wanderers
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

19.7%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

18.1%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Dorking Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barnet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Barnet - Dorking Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: Barnet will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Walker L. (G) 33. Brunt Z. 3. Coker B. 4. Collinge D. 8. Gorman D. (C) 2. Hall-Johnson R. 18. Hartigan A. 9. Kabamba N. 19. O'Donkor G. 6. Okimo J. 10. Stead C.	1. Male H. (G) 29. Blair T. 30. Bowerman S. 16. Carter C. 15. Cook J. 5. Craig T. (C) 37. Francomb G. 6. McManus N. 9. Prior J. 10. Rutherford A. 17. Taylor J.
Substitutes
32. Cropper J. 12. Freeman L. 11. Kanu I. 25. Keeley J. (G) 15. Maguire-Drew J.	19. Hollis H. 18. Moore L. 7. Muitt J. 24. Ottaway H. 3. Taylor B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
10', Taylor J. 🟨,
10', 1 - 0, Kabamba N. (Pen),
13', Cook J. 🟨,
21', 2 - 0, O'Donkor G. ⚽,
22', Rutherford A. 🟨,
31', 3 - 0, Stead C. ⚽,
33', Rutherford A. ↓, Hollis H. ↑,
33', Cook J. ↓, Taylor B. ↑,
38', 4 - 0, Stead C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Stead C. ↓, Kanu I. ↑,
59', O'Donkor G. ↓, Freeman L. ↑,
61', Hall-Johnson R. 🟨,
77', Walker L. 🟨,
77', Okimo J. 🟨,
79', Collinge D. ↓, Cropper J. ↑,
80', 5 - 0, Gorman D. ⚽,
90+1', 6 - 0, Brunt Z. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Barnet is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dorking is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dorking could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Barnet is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Barnet won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Barnet won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnet
English National League
19.03.24	Barnet - Eastleigh	2:1 ✺
16.03.24	Woking - Barnet	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
09.03.24	Bromley - Barnet	2:0 ✺
English National League
05.03.24	Barnet - Rochdale	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Hartlepool United - Barnet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWW
- Dorking Wanderers
English National League
16.03.24	Dorking Wanderers - Solihull Moors	1:1 ✺
12.03.24	Southend United - Dorking Wanderers	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Maidenhead United - Dorking Wanderers	4:2 ✺
05.03.24	Altrincham - Dorking Wanderers	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Dorking Wanderers - Chesterfield	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
07.10.23	Dorking Wanderers - Barnet	2:3
07.03.23	Dorking Wanderers - Barnet	2:1
13.09.22	Barnet - Dorking Wanderers	0:1
English FA Trophy
19.12.20	Dorking Wanderers - Barnet	3:1

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