Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 39

Date: 12 March 2024, Tuesday

Location: Roots Hall (Southend on Sea)


	Southend United		Dorking Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.33	6.5
	1.41	4.4	5.5
	1.47	4.5	6
	1.47	4.93	5.85
	1.48	4.94	5.85
	1.44	4.5	6.17
	1.4	4.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 (1.44)	4.59 ↑ (4.32)	5.98 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southend United
64.3%

Draw
20.2%

Dorking Wanderers
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

21.2%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

19.9%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southend United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Dorking Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Southend United - Dorking Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Andeng Ndi C. (G) 7. Bridge J. 9. Cardwell H. 5. Crowther A. 8. Husin N. 17. Miley C. 23. Morton 3. Ralph N. (C) 2. Scott-Morriss G. 10. Waldron D. 12. Woodman D.	1. Male H. (G) 30. Bowerman S. 16. Carter C. 5. Craig T. (C) 37. Francomb G. 6. McManus N. 7. Muitt J. 9. Prior J. 4. Pybus D. 10. Rutherford A. 3. Taylor B.
Substitutes
28. Coker O. 15. Dackers M. 24. Demetriou J. 19. Sandat H. 14. Wood J.	29. Blair T. 22. Fuller B. 19. Hollis H. 18. Moore L. 24. Ottaway H.

Preview

Southend is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dorking is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Southend could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Southend have a series of home games.

In this match Southend is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Southend won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Southend won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southend United
English National League
09.03.24	Southend United - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:1 ✺
05.03.24	Southend United - Wealdstone	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Oldham Athletic - Southend United	1:1 ✺
27.02.24	Southend United - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	Southend United - Aldershot Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTTWW
- Dorking Wanderers
English National League
09.03.24	Maidenhead United - Dorking Wanderers	4:2 ✺
05.03.24	Altrincham - Dorking Wanderers	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Dorking Wanderers - Chesterfield	4:1 ✺
24.02.24	Dorking Wanderers - Ebbsfleet United	1:4 ✺
17.02.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Dorking Wanderers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
15.08.23	Dorking Wanderers - Southend United	2:1
28.03.23	Dorking Wanderers - Southend United	1:0
12.11.22	Southend United - Dorking Wanderers	2:0
English FA Trophy
18.12.21	Southend United - Dorking Wanderers	2:1

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