Match Info

Date: 27 February 2021, Saturday


	Aldershot Town		Hereford

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.7	4
	1.75	3.55	3.9
	1.8	3.6	3.65
	1.87	3.86	3.94
	1.8	3.75	3.7
	1.88	3.8	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.56)	3.71 ↓ (3.8)	3.83 ↓ (5.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldershot Town
51.2%

Draw
24.8%

Hereford
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

23.9%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

14.9%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldershot Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aldershot Town's form might have worsened.

Hereford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hereford's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aldershot Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Aldershot Town - Hereford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Hereford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Aldershot is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Aldershot won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Aldershot won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aldershot Town
English National League
23.02.21	Maidenhead United - Aldershot Town	2:4 ✺
20.02.21	Aldershot Town - Wrexham	3:0 ✺
16.02.21	Aldershot Town - Solihull Moors	1:3 ✺
13.02.21	Stockport County - Aldershot Town	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
06.02.21	Aldershot Town - Chesterfield	Aldershot walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWLT?
- Hereford FC
English National League North
16.02.21	Hereford - Brackley Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
06.02.21	Hereford - Leamington	1:0 ✺
English National League North
06.02.21	Hereford - Gateshead	Canceled ✺
English FA Trophy
19.01.21	Stamford - Hereford	0:2 ✺
English National League North
02.01.21	Kidderminster Harriers - Hereford	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WW?WT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
26.04.14	Aldershot Town - Hereford	1:2
13.09.13	Hereford - Aldershot Town	0:2
English League Two
14.02.12	Aldershot Town - Hereford	N/A

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