Match Info

ENGLAND: National League Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Recreation Ground (Aldershot)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	National League TV


	Aldershot Town		Leeds United U21

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.8	2.9
	1.99	3.92	3.19
	1.96	3.95	3.08	Watch
	1.99	3.78	3.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 (1.97)	3.86 ↓ (4)	3.09 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldershot Town
46.6%

Draw
23.7%

Leeds United U21
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

22.5%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

21.1%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Leeds United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United U21 than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Aldershot Town - Leeds United U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van Stappershoef J. (G) 12. Anderson K. 14. Bray O. 9. Corbett K. 35. Ellison D. 8. Frost T. (C) 27. Henry J. 4. Jenkins L. 11. Jones R. 32. Maja E. 24. Mullins M.	1. Mahady R. (G) 10. Chadwick-Chaplin R. (C) 9. Douglas C. 3. Ferguson C. 2. Lane F. 5. Lopata-White R. 7. McDonald J. 8. McFadden M. 4. Monteiro D. 6. Moore K. 11. Pickles O.
Substitutes
22. Barham J. 28. Dewhurst M. (G) 30. Evans L. 7. Hargreaves C. 17. Jones A. 40. Nditi Z. 31. Stanley	16. Firth W. 15. Hamilton J. 18. Morris J. 14. Nfonkeu B. 12. Ombang D. (G) 17. Vincent H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Corbett K. ⚽,
36', Maja E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
56', 1 - 1, Chadwick-Chaplin R. ⚽,
58', Lane F. ↓, Vincent H. ↑,
60', 1 - 2, Pickles O. ⚽,
71', 1 - 3, Chadwick-Chaplin R. ⚽, McDonald J. (A),
72', Henry J. ↓, Hargreaves C. ↑,
72', Bray O. ↓, Barham J. ↑,
81', Frost T. ↓, Nditi Z. ↑,
81', Pickles O. ↓, Nfonkeu B. ↑,
82', Jones R. ↓, Lewis-Evans J. ↑,
90+1', Hargreaves C. 🟨,
90+3', McDonald J. ↓, Morris J. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League Cup (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League Cup (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Aldershot in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Leeds U21 is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aldershot could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Aldershot have a series of home games.

Aldershot will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Aldershot Town - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 45.64%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aldershot Town
English National League
08.03.25	Aldershot Town - Gateshead	3:1 ✺
04.03.25	Aldershot Town - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
01.03.25	Sittingbourne - Aldershot Town	0:3 ✺
English National League
25.02.25	Aldershot Town - Solihull Moors	3:1 ✺
22.02.25	Aldershot Town - Hartlepool United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WTWWW
- Leeds United U21
English Premier League 2
03.03.25	Leeds United U21 - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	1:1 ✺
24.02.25	Leeds United U21 - Norwich City U21	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Derby County U21 - Leeds United U21	1:2 ✺
07.02.25	Chelsea U21 - Leeds United U21	1:1 ✺
English Premier League Cup
31.01.25	Leeds United U21 - Birmingham City U21	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWWTW

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