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Current Win Probability
San Lorenzo 57%
Draw 27.6%
San Martín de San Juan 15.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.6%
22.6%
14.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.8%
22.2%
14.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Lorenzo's form might have worsened.
San Martín de San Juan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Lorenzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
31.2%
6.2%
San Lorenzo - San Martín de San Juan Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). San Martín will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for San Lorenzo: 38.8% – 86.2%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -0.5 - San Lorenzo (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - San Lorenzo (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
20. Altamirano F. (G) 34. Lopez F. 4. Romana J. 23. Hernandez G. (C) 37. Baez E. 24. Tripichio N. 38. Perruzzi I. 7. Cerutti E. 45. Gulli F. 11. Reali M. 28. Cuello A.
1. Borgogno M. (G) 16. Portillo A. 29. Lecanda T. 6. Recalde L. 30. Diarte L. 8. Tijanovich H. 22. Jaurena S. 49. Gonzalez D. 27. Fernandez T. 10. Gonzalez S. 11. Maestro I.
Substitutes
15. Cecchini E. 1. Clemente M. (G) 5. Dominguez N. 18. Herazo D. 44. Hernandez M. 36. Herrera D. 32. Herrera E. 50. Ladstatter A. 21. Perruzzi F. 40. Rattalino J. 22. Salinardi Branco 9. Vombergar A.
32. Anselmo F. 34. Barrera S. 2. Caseres R. 15. Cavallaro J. 19. Escalante L. T. 28. Iacobellis M. 37. Menendez J. 4. Molina A. 39. Orihuela M. 14. Pablo Garcia 18. Salle S. 13. Velazco M. (G)
Coaches
Ayude D.
Romagnoli L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Diarte L. 🟨,
45', Lecanda T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Fernandez T. ↓, Salle S. ↑,
61', Gonzalez S. ↓, Cavallaro J. ↑,
64', Reali M. ↓, Ladstatter A. ↑,
72', Diarte L. ↓, Orihuela M. ↑,
72', Maestro I. ↓, Barrera S. ↑,
73', Cerutti E. ↓, Herazo D. ↑,
73', Lopez F. ↓, Herrera E. ↑,
78', 0 - 1, Gonzalez D. ⚽, Jaurena S. (A),
84', Tripichio N. ↓, Hernandez M. ↑,
86', Borgogno M. 🟨,
88', Gonzalez D. ↓, Caseres R. ↑,
90', Perruzzi I. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 4.
Recent performances by San Lorenzo have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
San Martín is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, San Lorenzo is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in San Lorenzo: Arias N.
(Knee Injury)
Cordoba A.
(Inactive)
Insaurralde M.
(Elbow Injury)
Rodriguez Pagano T.
(International duty)
There will not play in San Martín: Pelaitay N.
(Injury)
Toloza F.
(Inactive)
Watson N.
(Red Card)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 1.6:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).
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Romana J. 
Vombergar A. 
Pablo Garcia 
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