Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Luis "Pirata" Fuente (Boca del Río)

Referee: Miranda E. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	AYM Sports


	Piratas de Veracruz		Alebrijes de Oaxaca

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.00	8.50
	1.26	4.95	9.4	Watch
	1.3	5.39	10.56
	1.3	5.1	10	Watch
	1.27	5.25	9.8
	1.31	5.45	9.8	Watch
	1.26	5	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↑ (1.27)	5.16 ↓ (5.2)	9.61 ↓ (10.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piratas de Veracruz
72.4%

Draw
18%

Alebrijes de Oaxaca
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.3%

17.9%

8.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piratas de Veracruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Alebrijes de Oaxaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Piratas de Veracruz - Alebrijes de Oaxaca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Hernandez H. (C) 14. Gonzalez R. 3. Jaime Sanchez K. Y. 15. Palomares R. 4. Lopez A. 10. Lopez G. 23. Venegas J. 8. Figueroa B. 28. Gamboa J. 25. Lajud Martinez D. 16. Fernandez C.	1. Rodas C. (G) 15. Villa P. 4. Alvarez K. (C) 12. Reyes J. 23. Hernandez A. 33. Tecpanecatl A. 28. Jeffus L. 27. Sanchez E. 177. Bustos J. 8. Barreda I. 11. Andrey Marcos
Substitutes
19. Doumbouya I. 18. Enciso A. 9. Garcia F. 22. Garcia U. 24. Gomez J. (G) 27. Jimenez M. 2. Mantilla A. 17. Ochoa E. 13. Sanchez D. 21. Vargas E.	30. Alaniz J. 20. Ayala D. 26. Carreon M. 19. Fadika B. 16. Gallinar S. 18. Gonzalez J. 22. Jaimes Rodriguez T. 3. Justo A. 25. Martinez D. 131. Palacios A. (G)
Coaches
Garcia M.	Hernandez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Hernandez A. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Lajud Martinez D. ⚽,
37', Tecpanecatl A. 🟥,
45+3', Alvarez K. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Bustos J. ↓, Alaniz J. ↑,
46', Andrey Marcos ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
46', Sanchez E. ↓, Gallinar S. ↑,
47', Alaniz J. 🟨,
54', Barreda I. ↓, Fadika B. ↑,
74', 2 - 0, Lajud Martinez D. ⚽,
75', Lajud Martinez D. ↓, Doumbouya I. ↑,
75', Fernandez C. ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
79', 3 - 0, Lopez G. ⚽, Doumbouya I. (A),
80', Hernandez A. ↓, Justo A. ↑,
84', Figueroa B. ↓, Enciso A. ↑,
84', Gamboa J. ↓, Ochoa E. ↑,
88', Gonzalez R. ↓, Garcia U. ↑,
90+6', 4 - 0, Garcia U. ⚽, Ochoa E. (A),

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 14th).

Piratas has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Alebrijes de Oaxaca has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Alebrijes de Oaxaca may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The betting markets point to Piratas as the clear and undisputed favorite.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Piratas	11	5	3	3	16:10	6	18
14	Alebrijes Oaxaca	11	3	1	7	8:22	-14	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piratas de Veracruz
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
24.09.26	Mineros de Zacatecas - Piratas de Veracruz	3:0 ✺
18.09.26	Piratas de Veracruz - Venados	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	Cruz Azul Hidalgo - Piratas de Veracruz	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Piratas de Veracruz - Correcaminos UAT	4:1 ✺
30.08.26	Leones Negros UdeG - Piratas de Veracruz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWTWT
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
24.09.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlético La Paz	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	Cancún - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3:0 ✺
10.09.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Alacranes de Durango	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Atlético Morelia - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	4:1 ✺
27.08.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tapatío	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLT

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