The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 46.9%
Draw 25.7%
Cruz Azul Hidalgo 27.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.9%
25.9%
33.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.1%
26%
32.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alebrijes de Oaxaca's performance.
Cruz Azul Hidalgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cruz Azul Hidalgo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alebrijes de Oaxaca that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul Hidalgo than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cruz Azul Hidalgo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Cruz Azul Hidalgo Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Alebrijes de Oaxaca will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alebrijes de Oaxaca (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Paz Vasquez O. (G) 15. Villa P. 4. Alvarez K. (C) 12. Reyes J. 3. Justo A. 18. Gonzalez J. 19. Fadika B. 177. Bustos J. 20. Ayala D. 11. Andrey Marcos 8. Barreda I.
30. Ochoa E. (G) 66. Suarez J. 67. Mendoza J. 28. Rubio R. (C) 47. De Los Rios S. 50. Gonzalez K. 63. Saavedra Nevarez A. A. 58. Sanchez E. 196. Ramírez I. 57. Valdez D. 27. Gamboa B.
Substitutes
26. Carreon M. 17. Collazo D. 16. Gallinar S. 174. Hernandez S. 2. Keiser D. 5. Lopez E. 25. Martinez D. 1. Rodas C. (G) 33. Tecpanecatl A. 14. Vazquez Hernandez A.
49. Diaz J. 44. Leon C. 56. Montes J. 59. Ramirez D. 61. Salgado B. (G) 45. Samano L. 25. Samano Salgado F. 70. Silva I. 68. Valdivia C. 222. Villegas E.
Coaches
Hernandez E.
Landazabal E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Bustos J. ⚽,
28', Rubio R. 🟨,
32', Bustos J. 🟨,
33', Gamboa B. 🟥,
45+1', Suarez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Valdez D. ↓, Silva I. ↑,
46', Saavedra Nevarez A. A. ↓, Samano Salgado F. ↑,
46', Rubio R. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
64', Ramírez I. ↓, Montes J. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, De Los Rios S. (Penalty Awarded),
69', Justo A. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
73', Gonzalez K. ↓, Valdivia C. ↑,
81', Ayala D. ↓, Tecpanecatl A. ↑,
87', Fadika B. ↓, Collazo D. ↑,
89', Alvarez K. 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 1, Martinez D. ⚽,
Preview
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 13th and 15th).
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Alebrijes de Oaxaca holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Alebrijes de Oaxaca has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Alebrijes de Oaxaca against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.