The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alessandria 32.5%
Draw 31.9%
Cittadella 35.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.5%
31.3%
38.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
21.3%
26%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alessandria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cittadella, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alessandria - Cittadella Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out) and 11).
Alessandria has the most likely position - 17 (18.12%), has project points - 38, has currently - 14, has a good chance of relegated (52%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Cittadella has the most likely position - 9 (8.41%), has project points - 54, has currently - 22, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (35%), has a small chance of promoted (10%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Recent matches Alessandria is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Cittadella is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Alessandria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
Watch
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