The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Monza 59.7%
Draw 24.6%
Alessandria 15.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.7%
23.9%
15.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.8%
14.5%
25.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-22.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monza that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alessandria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Monza - Alessandria Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out)).
Monza has the most likely position - 5 (8.45%), has project points - 59, has currently - 14, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (48%), has a chance of promoted (25%), has a small chance of win league (7%).
Alessandria has the most likely position - 19 (16.59%), has project points - 38, has currently - 8, has a good chance of relegated (57%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
In this match Monza is a favorite.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Monza won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Monza won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-5.